GERMANY 3. LIGA
12.09.2026 12:00
Merkur Spiel-Arena

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.34
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.8%
2.34
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.78
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.99
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win 38.7%
Draw 10.5%
MSV Duisburg Win 50.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortuna Düsseldorf2.22
MSV Duisburg1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf
WWDLW
32 GF / 9 GA
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
WLDWL
23 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.91
Average Goals Scored
2.09
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
4
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
7
1
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 11 matches
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 11 matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf Statistic MSV Duisburg
7 Wins 7
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
32 Goals For 23
9 Goals Against 13
2.91 Avg Goals Scored 2.09
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
4 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
1 Shots On Goal 4
3.25 Total Shots 5.75
2 Corners 1.75
16.8% Ball Possession 21.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Düsseldorf won 3 times, MSV Duisburg won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Fortuna Düsseldorf's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
Predicted formations: Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-1-3-2 / MSV Duisburg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fortuna Düsseldorf wins 3, draws 2, MSV Duisburg wins 1

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 12:3 9 12
W W W W
2 4 3 0 1 14:7 7 9
W L W W
3 5 3 0 2 13:8 5 9
W L W W L
4 5 2 2 1 11:12 -1 8
L D W D W
5 4 2 1 1 8:5 3 7
W L D W
6 4 2 1 1 7:7 0 7
W L D W
7 4 2 1 1 4:5 -1 7
W D W L
8 4 2 0 2 9:5 4 6
L W W L
9 4 2 0 2 6:7 -1 6
W L L W
10 4 2 0 2 2:4 -2 6
W L L W
11 4 2 0 2 6:9 -3 6
L W W L
12 4 1 2 1 3:3 0 5
D W D L
13 4 1 2 1 5:6 -1 5
L W D D
14 4 1 1 2 7:7 0 4
L L W D
15 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
L L D W
16 4 1 1 2 2:4 -2 4
D W L L
17 4 1 0 3 6:8 -2 3
L W L L
18 4 1 0 3 7:10 -3 3
L L L W
19 4 1 0 3 5:10 -5 3
W L L L
20 4 0 2 2 2:8 -6 2
D D L L
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation