COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
08.08.2026 21:20
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Referee: Diego Ulloa Angulo
Fortaleza FC
Match Timeline
Cucuta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
R. D. Rivas Torres · Assist: A. Copete
Fortaleza FC
🟨
40'
Sebastian Herrera
Fortaleza FC
🟨
58'
Leonardo Pico
Fortaleza FC
VAR
58'
Leonardo Pico
Fortaleza FC
🟨
58'
Gustavo Torres
Cucuta
🔄
60'
V. Mejia ↔ S. Mayo
Cucuta
🔄
62'
J. Velasquez ↔ S. Navarro
Fortaleza FC
🔄
62'
S. Vivas ↔ K. A. Balanta Carabali
Fortaleza FC
🔄
64'
S. Tamara ↔ Y. Abonia
Cucuta
🔄
64'
M. B. Carabali Lopez ↔ J. E. Manyoma Cordoba
Cucuta
🔄
64'
G. Torres ↔ D. Perez
Cucuta
🟨
66'
Leison Ochoa
Cucuta
🔄
70'
J. Ceballos ↔ L. Rios
Cucuta
71'
R. D. Rivas Torres · Assist: K. A. Balanta Carabali
Fortaleza FC
🔄
73'
R. D. Rivas Torres ↔ A. Batioja
Fortaleza FC
🟨
78'
Diego Calcaterra
Cucuta
🔄
80'
J. Herrera ↔ T. Wilke
Fortaleza FC
🔄
81'
J. Solis ↔ I. Montano
Fortaleza FC

Fortaleza FC vs Cucuta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fortaleza FC Win 82%
Draw 7.7%
Cucuta Win 10.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza FC1.42
Cucuta1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
WWDLW
24 GF / 31 GA
Cucuta Cucuta
WLDWL
25 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
16
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
11
3.77
Shots on Goal
3.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 22 matches
Cucuta Cucuta 22 matches
Fortaleza FC Statistic Cucuta
5 Wins 3
9 Draws 9
8 Losses 10
24 Goals For 25
31 Goals Against 42
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
16 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 5
3.77 Shots On Goal 3.43
12 Total Shots 8.71
4.45 Corners 4
54.7% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza FC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Cucuta in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cucuta having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cucuta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Cucuta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Fortaleza FC Analysis

Fortaleza FC sit 15 with 22 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 22:27, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Solís (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Vivas (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cucuta Analysis

Cucuta sit 19 with 16 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 22:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lucas Ríos (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza FC won 3 times, Cucuta won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:11 from Fortaleza FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: Fortaleza FC 4-1-4-1 / Cucuta 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fortaleza FC wins 3, draws 7, Cucuta wins 4

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W D L D L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
L W D W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L D L W W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification