COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Referee: D. Ulloa
Fortaleza FC
Match Timeline
Cucuta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
R. D. Rivas Torres · Assist: A. Copete
Fortaleza FC
🟨
40'
Sebastian Herrera
Fortaleza FC
🟨
58'
Leonardo Pico
Fortaleza FC
VAR
58'
Leonardo Pico
Fortaleza FC
🟨
58'
Gustavo Torres
Cucuta
🔄
60'
V. Mejia ↔ S. Mayo
Cucuta
🔄
62'
J. Velasquez ↔ S. Navarro
Fortaleza FC
🔄
62'
S. Vivas ↔ K. A. Balanta Carabali
Fortaleza FC
🔄
64'
S. Tamara ↔ Y. Abonia
Cucuta
🔄
64'
M. B. Carabali Lopez ↔ J. E. Manyoma Cordoba
Cucuta
🔄
64'
G. Torres ↔ D. Perez
Cucuta
🟨
66'
Leison Ochoa
Cucuta
🔄
70'
J. Ceballos ↔ L. Rios
Cucuta
71'
R. D. Rivas Torres · Assist: K. A. Balanta Carabali
Fortaleza FC
🔄
73'
R. D. Rivas Torres ↔ A. Batioja
Fortaleza FC
🟨
78'
Diego Calcaterra
Cucuta
🔄
80'
J. Herrera ↔ T. Wilke
Fortaleza FC
🔄
81'
J. Solis ↔ I. Montano
Fortaleza FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fortaleza FC Win 82%
Draw 7.7%
Cucuta Win 10.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza FC1.42
Cucuta1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
WWDLW
24 GF / 31 GA
Cucuta Cucuta
WLDWL
25 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
16
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
11
3.77
Shots on Goal
3.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 22 matches
Cucuta Cucuta 22 matches
Fortaleza FC Statistic Cucuta
5 Wins 3
9 Draws 9
8 Losses 10
24 Goals For 25
31 Goals Against 42
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
16 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 5
3.77 Shots On Goal 3.43
12 Total Shots 8.71
4.45 Corners 4
54.7% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza FC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Cucuta in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cucuta having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cucuta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Cucuta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Fortaleza FC Analysis

Fortaleza FC sit 15 with 22 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 22:27, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Solís (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Vivas (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cucuta Analysis

Cucuta sit 19 with 16 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 22:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lucas Ríos (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza FC won 3 times, Cucuta won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:11 from Fortaleza FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: Fortaleza FC 4-1-4-1 / Cucuta 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fortaleza FC wins 3, draws 7, Cucuta wins 4
Stats
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
Cucuta Cucuta
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
1 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 13
4 Offsides 2
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 9
3 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
409 Total passes 345
337 Passes accurate 277
0.98 expected_goals 1.44
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fortaleza FC
Formation
Cucuta
W. Barlasina
W. Barlasina
J. Cajares
J. Cajares
Y. Diaz
Y. Diaz
A. Copete
🎯
A. Copete
J. Castillo
J. Castillo
L. Pico
L. Pico
R. D. Rivas Torres
⚽ 2
R. D. Rivas Torres
J. Velasquez
J. Velasquez
S. Vivas
S. Vivas
J. Solis
J. Solis
J. Herrera
J. Herrera
F. Abadia
F. Abadia
S. Tamara
S. Tamara
D. Calcaterra
D. Calcaterra
L. Ochoa
L. Ochoa
B. Montano
B. Montano
V. Mejia
V. Mejia
J. Ceballos
J. Ceballos
G. Torres
G. Torres
L. Berdugo
L. Berdugo
M. B. Carabali Lopez
M. B. Carabali Lopez
J. Peralta
J. Peralta
Fortaleza FC 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
W. Barlasina
G
16
J. Cajares
D
6
Y. Diaz
D
2
A. Copete
🎯 38'
D
23
J. Castillo
D
14
L. Pico
🟨 58'
M
26
R. D. Rivas Torres
⚽ 38' ⚽ 71' ↓ 73'
M
10
J. Velasquez
↓ 62'
M
28
S. Vivas
↓ 62'
M
30
J. Solis
↓ 81'
M
9
J. Herrera
↓ 80' 🟨 40'
F
Substitutes
12
C. Santander
G
8
S. Navarro
↑ 62'
M
29
T. Wilke
↑ 80'
F
17
K. A. Balanta Carabali
🎯 71' ↑ 62'
M
11
A. Batioja
↑ 73'
F
4
E. Cabezas
D
5
J. Medina Obando
D
20
J. Blanco
F
7
I. Montano
↑ 81'
F
Cucuta 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
F. Abadia
G
33
S. Tamara
↓ 64'
D
3
D. Calcaterra
🟨 78'
D
17
L. Ochoa
🟨 66'
D
30
B. Montano
D
5
V. Mejia
↓ 60'
M
8
J. Ceballos
↓ 70'
M
11
G. Torres
↓ 64' 🟨 58'
M
10
L. Berdugo
M
21
M. B. Carabali Lopez
↓ 64'
M
9
J. Peralta
F
Substitutes
1
J. Ramirez
G
77
Neneco
M
26
Y. Abonia
↑ 64'
D
7
J. E. Manyoma Cordoba
↑ 64'
32
J. Agudelo
F
29
L. Rios
↑ 70'
M
23
S. Mayo
↑ 60'
D
20
D. Perez
↑ 64'
F
Last matches: Fortaleza FC
04.08.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Llaneros
1
3
L
01.08.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
26.07.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Águilas Doradas
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
31.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Millonarios
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
19.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Junior
1
2
L
05.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Jaguares
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Cali
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Once Caldas
2
4
L
16.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Chico
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Atletico Nacional
1
4
L
07.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Santa Fe
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Llaneros
1
1
D
Last matches: Cucuta
19.08.26
Pri
Cucuta
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
04.08.26
Pri
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Cucuta
Once Caldas
1
5
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cucuta
Jaguares
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Junior
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Santa Fe
0
5
L
05.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
America de Cali
2
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
0
0
D
28.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Chico
1
0
W
24.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Llaneros
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Cali
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Millonarios
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
L
23.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportes Tolima
3
2
W
17.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Independiente Medellin
1
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Águilas Doradas
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pri
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
2
2
D
H2H: Fortaleza FC vs Cucuta
08.08.26
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
2
0
W
29.05.26
H2H
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
0
0
D
31.01.26
H2H
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
18.11.23
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
2
0
W
15.11.23
H2H
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
1
0
L
25.08.23
H2H
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
1
0
L
08.03.23
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
1
1
D
15.07.22
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
2
2
D
04.08.18
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
0
0
D
25.02.18
H2H
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
29.10.17
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
1
0
W
19.08.17
H2H
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
2
2
D
13.05.17
H2H
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
1
0
L
03.04.17
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
0
1
L
Last matches: Fortaleza FC
01.08.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
23.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Águilas Doradas
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
25.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
1
2
L
05.03.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Jaguares
2
1
W
16.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Chico
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Santa Fe
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Llaneros
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
W
03.12.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Santa Fe
1
2
L
30.11.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
0
2
L
18.11.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportes Tolima
0
1
L
08.11.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Junior
1
1
D
24.10.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Pasto
2
0
W
14.10.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Chico
1
0
W
27.09.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
America de Cali
1
0
W
08.09.25
Pri
Fortaleza FC
Internacional de Bogota
1
0
W
H2H at home: Fortaleza FC
08.08.26
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
2
0
W
18.11.23
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
2
0
W
08.03.23
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
1
1
D
15.07.22
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
2
2
D
04.08.18
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
0
0
D
29.10.17
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
1
0
W
03.04.17
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
0
1
L
Last matches: Cucuta
04.08.26
Pri
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Cucuta
Once Caldas
1
5
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cucuta
Jaguares
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Santa Fe
0
5
L
02.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
0
0
D
24.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Llaneros
2
2
D
09.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Millonarios
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
L
17.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Águilas Doradas
2
3
L
23.01.26
Pri
Cucuta
Internacional de Bogota
1
2
L
28.11.25
Pri
Cucuta
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
L
19.11.25
Pri
Cucuta
Huila
0
2
L
15.11.25
Pri
Cucuta
Jaguares
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pri
Cucuta
Internacional Palmira
1
0
W
19.10.25
Pri
Cucuta
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
10.10.25
Pri
Cucuta
Real Santander
2
0
W
30.09.25
Pri
Cucuta
Depor FC
0
0
D
15.09.25
Pri
Cucuta
Barranquilla
2
1
W
H2H away: Cucuta
08.08.26
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
2
0
L
18.11.23
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
2
0
L
08.03.23
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
1
1
D
15.07.22
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
2
2
D
04.08.18
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
0
0
D
29.10.17
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
1
0
L
03.04.17
H2H
Fortaleza FC
Cucuta
0
1
W

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L L W W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W W W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L D W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L W W L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D L L D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D L W L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W L W D W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W W W D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W L
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
D W D W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
W L D D W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
W D L L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L D D D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L L W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L D L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L L W L
Post season qualification