Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
50%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Fortaleza FC
Atletico Nacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fortaleza FC
23 matches
Atletico Nacional
30 matches
| Fortaleza FC | Statistic | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 19 |
| 9 | Draws | 1 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 26 | Goals For | 54 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.97 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.91 | Shots On Goal | 6.04 |
| 12.04 | Total Shots | 16.3 |
| 4.3 | Corners | 5.19 |
| 54.7% | Ball Possession | 56.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Atletico Nacional's more proactive style and Fortaleza FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico Nacional. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza FC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Atletico Nacional in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Nacional having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atletico Nacional carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Fortaleza FC sit 15 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
With 22 points from 19 games and a place of 15, Fortaleza FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 22:27, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Richardson Rivas (2 goals), Joan Cajares (1 goals), J. Solís (1 goals), with creative support from Yesid Díaz (1 assists), Santiago Vivas (1 assists), Andres Copete (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Atletico Nacional approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 19 outings. With 13 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:15, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Alfredo Morelos (1 goals), Marlos Moreno (1 goals), Andrés Sarmiento (1 goals), with creative support from Alfredo Morelos (1 assists), Matheus Uribe (1 assists), Andrés Román (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza FC won 1 times, Atletico Nacional won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:20 from Fortaleza FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Away
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Fortaleza FC
Home
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
D
L
W
|