ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
12.09.2026 14:00
The New Lawn

Forest Green vs Gateshead Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.47
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.9%
1.47
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
2.04
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Forest Green Win 73.9%
Draw 9.3%
Gateshead Win 16.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Forest Green1.62
Gateshead1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Forest Green Forest Green
WWDLW
19 GF / 25 GA
Gateshead Gateshead
WLDWL
18 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
9
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Forest Green Forest Green 12 matches
Gateshead Gateshead 12 matches
Forest Green Statistic Gateshead
6 Wins 2
1 Draws 4
5 Losses 6
19 Goals For 18
25 Goals Against 20
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
9 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gateshead having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gateshead. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Forest Green arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 17 with 6 points compared to Gateshead in 22 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Forest Green Analysis

Forest Green sit 17 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 6:10 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gateshead Analysis

With 3 points from 5 games and a place of 22, Gateshead still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 4:8, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Forest Green won 8 times, Gateshead won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:14 from Forest Green's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
H2H summary: Forest Green wins 8, draws 3, Gateshead wins 4

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 16:8 8 16
W W W W W
2 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W W D W D
3 6 4 1 1 15:9 6 13
W W L D W
4 6 4 1 1 12:8 4 13
W D L W W
5 6 4 0 2 10:8 2 12
L W W L W
6 6 4 0 2 7:6 1 12
L L W W W
7 6 3 2 1 13:9 4 11
D W W L W
8 6 3 2 1 12:8 4 11
L W W W D
9 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
W D W D L
10 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
L D W W L
11 6 3 0 3 7:8 -1 9
W W W L L
12 7 3 0 4 5:6 -1 9
L W L L L
13 6 3 0 3 7:10 -3 9
W L L L W
14 6 2 2 2 13:10 3 8
L W D W D
15 6 2 1 3 8:8 0 7
D L L W W
16 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
D L L W L
17 6 2 0 4 9:10 -1 6
L W L W L
18 6 1 2 3 8:9 -1 5
W D L D L
19 6 1 2 3 12:16 -4 5
D L W L L
20 6 1 2 3 7:11 -4 5
L W D L L
21 6 1 1 4 8:12 -4 4
L L W L L
22 6 1 1 4 5:9 -4 4
D L L L W
23 6 1 1 4 4:10 -6 4
L D L W L
24 6 0 1 5 6:17 -11 1
D L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation