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26.10.2026 17:00
Tony Bezzina Stadium

Floriana vs Zabbar St. Patrick Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Floriana Win 65.6%
Draw 5.2%
Zabbar St. Patrick Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Floriana1.81
Zabbar St. Patrick1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Floriana Floriana
WWDLW
25 GF / 19 GA
Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick
WLDWL
9 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
2.08
Average Goals Scored
0.9
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
8
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
1
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Floriana Floriana 12 matches
Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 10 matches
Floriana Statistic Zabbar St. Patrick
5 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 5
25 Goals For 9
19 Goals Against 14
2.08 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
8 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 3
1 Shots On Goal 0
3.2 Total Shots 0
1.2 Corners 0
18% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Floriana's more proactive style and Zabbar St. Patrick's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Floriana arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 15 points compared to Zabbar St. Patrick in 10 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Zabbar St. Patrick arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Zabbar St. Patrick. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Zabbar St. Patrick having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Floriana Analysis

Floriana arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 15 points after 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 20:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Zabbar St. Patrick Analysis

With 8 points from 8 games and a place of 10, Zabbar St. Patrick still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 8:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Floriana won 4 times, Zabbar St. Patrick won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:1 from Floriana's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
H2H summary: Floriana wins 4, draws 1, Zabbar St. Patrick wins 0

Standings

Premier Division: First stage - Main
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 19:7 12 19
W W W D W
2 8 5 2 1 15:10 5 17
W W L W D
3 8 4 3 1 20:11 9 15
D D W L W
4 8 3 4 1 13:11 2 13
D D D L D
5 8 3 3 2 13:10 3 12
D D W W W
6 8 3 2 3 9:10 -1 11
L D D W W
7 8 2 4 2 11:9 2 10
L D D D W
8 8 3 1 4 9:8 1 10
L L W D L
9 8 2 3 3 7:11 -4 9
W D L D L
10 8 2 2 4 8:12 -4 8
W L L D L
11 8 0 4 4 6:17 -11 4
D D D D L
12 8 0 1 7 3:17 -14 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Premier League (First stage - Play Out)