ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
05.09.2026 16:00
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: J. Jaanovits

Flora Tallinn vs Kalju Nomme Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.4%
1.44
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.58
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
2.51
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Flora Tallinn Win 33.6%
Draw 30.5%
Kalju Nomme Win 35.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flora Tallinn1.46
Kalju Nomme1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WWDLW
65 GF / 51 GA
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WLDWL
72 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
17
BTTS Yes
21
27
Over 2.5
19
1.14
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 38 matches
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 38 matches
Flora Tallinn Statistic Kalju Nomme
20 Wins 19
2 Draws 9
16 Losses 10
65 Goals For 72
51 Goals Against 41
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
17 BTTS Yes 21
30 Over 1.5 30
27 Over 2.5 19
15 Over 3.5 12
13 Clean Sheets 13
8 Failed To Score 5
1.14 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
1.86 Corners 0
14% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Kalju Nomme. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Flora Tallinn have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kalju Nomme having the stronger overall control.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

With 42 points from 23 games and a place of 3, Flora Tallinn still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 14 wins, 0 draws, and 9 defeats with a 45:28 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Kalju Nomme approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 44 points after 24 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a 43:19 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flora Tallinn won 6 times, Kalju Nomme won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Flora Tallinn's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (69.5%)
Predicted formations: Flora Tallinn 4-3-3 / Kalju Nomme -
H2H summary: Flora Tallinn wins 6, draws 5, Kalju Nomme wins 4

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga