Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
86.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Flamengo
15 matches
Vasco DA Gama
13 matches
| Flamengo | Statistic | Vasco DA Gama |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 31 | Goals For | 18 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 2.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.53 | Shots On Goal | 5.38 |
| 14.47 | Total Shots | 17.69 |
| 3.87 | Corners | 5.62 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 53.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Flamengo's more proactive style and Vasco DA Gama's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Flamengo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 26 points compared to Vasco DA Gama in 10 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vasco DA Gama. Flamengo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Flamengo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 26 points after 12 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 24:10 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Pedro (7 goals), G. de Arrascaeta (3 goals), Lucas Paquetá (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (5 assists), Pedro (3 assists), Guillermo Varela (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Vasco DA Gama sit 10 with 16 points after 13 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 18:19 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Cauan Barros (3 goals), Thiago Mendes (3 goals), Andres Gomez (2 goals), with creative support from Cuiabano (4 assists), J. Rodriguez (3 assists), Paulo Henrique (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 9 times, Vasco DA Gama won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:11 from Flamengo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Flamengo
6
6
3
9
3
5
Lineups
Flamengo
Lausanne
Flamengo
River Plate
Flamengo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Gremio
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Bahia
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Fluminense
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Santos
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
Corinthians
Flamengo
Remo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Flamengo
Lausanne
Flamengo
River Plate
Flamengo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Bahia
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Santos
Flamengo
Remo
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 |
Flamengo
Home
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 |
Vasco DA Gama
Away
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
