03.07.2026 18:30
Estadio Algarve
Referee: L. M. Branco Godinho
Flamengo
Match Timeline
River Plate
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
S. Driussi
River Plate
🟨
29'
Fausto Vera
River Plate
30'
Samuel Lino · Assist: Jorginho
Flamengo
🟨
32'
E. Pulgar
Flamengo
33'
Bruno Henrique · Assist: Samuel Lino
Flamengo
38'
S. Driussi · Assist: G. Gonzalez
River Plate
🔄
46'
J. Meza ↔ L. Silva
River Plate
🔄
58'
M. Arambarri ↔ F. Gonzalez
River Plate
🔄
59'
M. Acuna ↔ L. Pereyra
River Plate
🔄
59'
F. Colidio ↔ J. Freitas
River Plate
🔄
59'
S. Driussi ↔ T. Goytia
River Plate
🔄
60'
Pedro ↔ Everton
Flamengo
🔄
61'
Bruno Henrique ↔ Evertton Araujo
Flamengo
🔄
61'
Jorginho ↔ Wallace Yan
Flamengo
🔄
68'
Emerson Royal ↔ S. Niguez
Flamengo
🔄
69'
A. Rossi ↔ A. da Silva Ventura
Flamengo
🔄
69'
Luiz Araujo ↔ Daniel Sales
Flamengo
🔄
77'
Samuel Lino ↔ Joshua
Flamengo
🔄
78'
E. Pulgar ↔ Lorran
Flamengo
🟨
79'
G. Gonzalez
River Plate
🔄
85'
G. Gonzalez ↔ V. Lucero
River Plate
🔄
85'
Fausto Vera ↔ U. Gimenez
River Plate
🟨
90+6'
L. Rivero
River Plate

Flamengo vs River Plate Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.3%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Flamengo Win 36.9%
Draw 4.8%
River Plate Win 58.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flamengo1.44
River Plate1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flamengo Flamengo
WWDLW
42 GF / 18 GA
River Plate River Plate
WLDWL
30 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
10
BTTS Yes
7
13
Over 2.5
6
5.82
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Flamengo Flamengo 22 matches
River Plate River Plate 22 matches
Flamengo Statistic River Plate
14 Wins 13
5 Draws 3
3 Losses 6
42 Goals For 30
18 Goals Against 16
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
10 BTTS Yes 7
20 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 11
2 Failed To Score 5
5.82 Shots On Goal 5.6
15.64 Total Shots 16.65
4.64 Corners 5.75
55.6% Ball Possession 65.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 1 times, River Plate won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Flamengo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Flamengo 4-2-3-1 / River Plate 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Flamengo wins 1, draws 1, River Plate wins 0