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15.09.2026 19:30
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Elche
Match Timeline
Real Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Yan Diomande
Real Madrid
⚽
25'
M. Dituro
Real Madrid
🟨
31'
Marc Aguado
Elche
⚽
33'
K. Mbappe · Assist: Y. Diomande
Real Madrid
🔄
58'
G. Valera ↔ T. Lemar
Elche
🔄
58'
M. Aguado ↔ L. Cepeda
Elche
🔄
68'
Buba Sangare ↔ R. Sanchez
Elche
🔄
68'
M. Neto ↔ F. Nino
Elche
🔄
68'
Vinicius Junior ↔ B. Diaz
Real Madrid
🔄
68'
A. Guler ↔ J. Bellingham
Real Madrid
⚽
71'
A. Osorio · Assist: L. Cepeda
Elche
🟨
73'
Ibrahima Konaté
Real Madrid
🟨
78'
Lucas Cepeda
Elche
🔄
80'
Tete Morente ↔ Josan
Elche
⚽
83'
F. Nino · Assist: Josan
Elche
🔄
86'
A. Tchouameni ↔ Endrick
Real Madrid
🔄
87'
T. Alexander-Arnold ↔ C. Espi
Real Madrid
🟨
90+4'
Gonzalo Villar
Elche
🟨
90+3'
Josan
Elche
🔄
90+2'
Y. Diomande ↔ D. Dumfries
Real Madrid
⚽
90'
C. Espi · Assist: K. Mbappe
Real Madrid

Elche vs Real Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Elche Win 15.8%
Draw 4.7%
Real Madrid Win 79.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Elche1.17
Real Madrid2.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Elche Elche
D L L L D
6 GF / 13 GA
Real Madrid Real Madrid
W W L W W
14 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2.55
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
8
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
9
5.2
Shots on Goal
9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Elche Elche 10 matches
Real Madrid Real Madrid 11 matches
Elche Statistic Real Madrid
2 Wins 9
5 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
14 Goals For 28
19 Goals Against 9
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.55
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
8 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
5.2 Shots On Goal 9
11.8 Total Shots 20
5.2 Corners 7.67
51.6% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Elche won 0 times, Real Madrid won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:34 from Elche's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Elche 4-5-1 / Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Elche 1, Real Madrid 3
H2H summary: Elche wins 0, draws 3, Real Madrid wins 10

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 11 0 1 48:13 35 33
W W L W W
2 12 10 0 2 31:10 21 30
W W W W W
3 12 9 1 2 23:10 13 28
L W W W W
4 12 8 2 2 20:15 5 26
W W D L W
5 12 7 1 4 21:20 1 22
W L W W W
6 12 5 3 4 17:19 -2 18
D L W L D
7 11 4 4 3 15:11 4 16
D W W L D
8 12 4 3 5 17:15 2 15
W L W D L
9 12 3 6 3 15:14 1 15
D W L D L
10 12 4 2 6 17:30 -13 14
W L W L D
11 12 2 7 3 10:10 0 13
D L D W D
12 12 3 4 5 15:17 -2 13
D L D L L
13 12 3 3 6 13:14 -1 12
D W L L D
14 11 3 3 5 15:21 -6 12
L W L D D
15 12 3 3 6 8:18 -10 12
L W L D L
16 12 3 3 6 12:23 -11 12
D L L W L
17 12 2 5 5 16:21 -5 11
D L L W D
18
Elche Home
12 2 4 6 14:20 -6 10
L L W D D
19 12 2 3 7 8:20 -12 9
L W L D D
20 12 0 5 7 9:23 -14 5
L L D L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2