SPAIN LA LIGA
15.09.2026 19:30

Elche vs Real Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Elche Win 15.8%
Draw 4.7%
Real Madrid Win 79.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Elche1.18
Real Madrid2.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Elche Elche
WWDLW
13 GF / 18 GA
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WLDWL
24 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
2.4
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
7
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
8
6.25
Shots on Goal
8.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Elche Elche 9 matches
Real Madrid Real Madrid 10 matches
Elche Statistic Real Madrid
2 Wins 8
4 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
13 Goals For 24
18 Goals Against 8
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
7 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
6.25 Shots On Goal 8.6
14 Total Shots 19.2
6.25 Corners 7
56.3% Ball Possession 52.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Elche won 0 times, Real Madrid won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:34 from Elche's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Elche 5-4-1 / Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Elche wins 0, draws 3, Real Madrid wins 10

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 17:2 15 12
W W W W
2 4 3 1 0 10:3 7 10
W W D W
3 4 3 0 1 10:3 7 9
L W W W
4 4 3 0 1 5:5 0 9
W L W W
5 4 2 2 0 8:5 3 8
W W D D
6 4 2 1 1 7:6 1 7
D L W W
7 4 2 1 1 7:6 1 7
L W D W
8 4 2 1 1 5:6 -1 7
L W W D
9 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
W D W L L
10 4 2 0 2 6:5 1 6
W W L L
11 4 1 2 1 5:5 0 5
D W D L
12 4 1 1 2 6:5 1 4
D L L W
13 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
L W L D
14 4 1 1 2 7:10 -3 4
W L D L
15 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
D L W L
16 5 0 3 2 2:5 -3 3
D D L L D
17 4 0 2 2 6:8 -2 2
L L D D
18 4 0 2 2 1:7 -6 2
D L D L
19
Elche Home
4 0 1 3 5:12 -7 1
L L L D
20 4 0 1 3 1:9 -8 1
L L L D
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