Flamengo vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Flamengo
32 matches
Cruzeiro
32 matches
| Flamengo | Statistic | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 14 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 3 | Losses | 9 |
| 66 | Goals For | 44 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.84 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.86 | Shots On Goal | 4.47 |
| 15.54 | Total Shots | 13.77 |
| 4.57 | Corners | 4.87 |
| 56.7% | Ball Possession | 54.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 1-1, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. In the previous meeting, Flamengo had more of the ball in the first leg (53% possession compared to 47%). Flamengo were also more accurate in attack, recording 5 shots on target to 1. Flamengo also attempted more passes (507 to 434) and completed 437. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cruzeiro. Flamengo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Flamengo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 16 points compared to Cruzeiro in 2 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Ahead of this knockout test, Flamengo arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 16 points after 6 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats with goals at 14:2 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking weight falls on Bruno Henrique (4 goals), Lucas Paquetá (3 goals), Giorgian de Arrascaeta (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Henrique (2 assists), Ayrton Lucas (2 assists), Giorgian de Arrascaeta (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Ahead of this knockout test, Cruzeiro arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 11 points after 6 matches. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 8:3, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Matheus Pereira (4 goals), Fagner (1 goals), Christian (1 goals), with creative support from Fagner (2 assists), Kaio Jorge (2 assists), Matheus Pereira (1 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 10 times, Cruzeiro won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:10 from Flamengo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
Home
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
L
L
D
L
L
|