CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Strelnice
Referee: V. Opocensky
FK Jablonec
Match Timeline
Slovan Liberec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
15'
Martin Rýzek
Slovan Liberec
🔄
36'
S. Obinaya ↔ F. Zorvan
FK Jablonec
38'
F. Zorvan · Assist: M. Polidar
FK Jablonec
🟨
44'
Sebastian Nebyla
FK Jablonec
🔄
46'
P. Hodous ↔ P. Julis
Slovan Liberec
🔄
61'
P. Dulay ↔ A. Soliu
Slovan Liberec
🔄
61'
L. Letenay ↔ L. Masek
Slovan Liberec
🔄
61'
F. Spatenka ↔ M. Lexa
Slovan Liberec
🔄
69'
L. Jawo ↔ D. Puskac
FK Jablonec
🔄
69'
R. Sedlacek ↔ D. Soucek
FK Jablonec
🔄
69'
J. Chramosta ↔ M. Malensek
FK Jablonec
🟨
70'
Daniel Souček
FK Jablonec
72'
V. Chanturishvili
Slovan Liberec
76'
N. Tekijaski
FK Jablonec
🔄
83'
A. Alegue ↔ D. Nykrin
FK Jablonec
🔄
85'
J. Mikula ↔ V. Sychra
Slovan Liberec
🟨
90+4'
Klemen Mihelak
FK Jablonec

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FK Jablonec Win 51.4%
Draw 15.1%
Slovan Liberec Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Jablonec1.19
Slovan Liberec1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
WWDLW
43 GF / 46 GA
Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec
WLDWL
44 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
14
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
13
3.79
Shots on Goal
4.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 34 matches
Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 34 matches
FK Jablonec Statistic Slovan Liberec
15 Wins 12
7 Draws 10
12 Losses 12
43 Goals For 44
46 Goals Against 37
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
14 BTTS Yes 15
26 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 7
14 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 11
3.79 Shots On Goal 4.47
11.24 Total Shots 13.59
5.15 Corners 4.82
48.5% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Slovan Liberec. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FK Jablonec expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Slovan Liberec in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Slovan Liberec having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

FK Jablonec Analysis

FK Jablonec sit 4 with 51 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 41:33, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Chramosta (10 goals), L. Jawo (9 goals), Sebastian Nebyla (4 goals), with creative support from A. Alegue (7 assists), L. Jawo (3 assists), Sebastian Nebyla (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Slovan Liberec Analysis

Slovan Liberec approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 46 points from 30 matches. Their record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 43:30, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through R. Krollis (8 goals), Ermin Mahmic (7 goals), L. Masek (7 goals), with creative support from M. Hlavaty (5 assists), M. Icha (5 assists), Abubakar Ghali (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Jablonec won 5 times, Slovan Liberec won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from FK Jablonec's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: FK Jablonec 3-4-1-2 / Slovan Liberec 3-4-3
H2H summary: FK Jablonec wins 5, draws 6, Slovan Liberec wins 4

Standings

1. Liga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 24 8 3 74:31 43 80
W L W W W
2 35 23 7 6 69:34 35 76
W W D W L
3 35 18 9 8 60:38 22 63
L W D W W
4 35 16 8 11 50:41 9 56
L W W D L
5 35 16 7 12 45:47 -2 55
W L L D L
6 35 12 10 13 45:39 6 46
L L L L L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification