Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
81.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
73%
|
- |
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fiorentina
48 matches
Sassuolo
35 matches
| Fiorentina | Statistic | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 14 |
| 12 | Draws | 6 |
| 19 | Losses | 15 |
| 64 | Goals For | 42 |
| 65 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
| 29 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 30 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.04 | Shots On Goal | 3.74 |
| 13.46 | Total Shots | 10.74 |
| 4.63 | Corners | 4.06 |
| 51.4% | Ball Possession | 44.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sassuolo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
With 36 points from 33 games and a place of 15, Fiorentina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 12 draws, and 13 defeats with a 36:44 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Moise Kean (8 goals), R. Mandragora (6 goals), A. Gudmundsson (5 goals), with creative support from A. Gudmundsson (4 assists), R. Mandragora (3 assists), Nicolò Fagioli (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with T. Lamptey, N. Fortini, F. Parisi, M. Pongracic unavailable.
Sassuolo are currently 10 in the standings with 45 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 39:43 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Pinamonti (8 goals), Domenico Berardi (7 goals), Ismael Koné (6 goals), with creative support from A. Lauriente (8 assists), Domenico Berardi (4 assists), C. Volpato (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with F. Cande, E. Pieragnolo, F. Romagna, D. Berardi unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina won 4 times, Sassuolo won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:24 from Fiorentina's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.
Fiorentina
5
1
12
5
5
5
Lineups
Fiorentina
Deportivo La Coruna
Fiorentina
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
Watford
Fiorentina
QPR
Fiorentina
Gubbio
Fiorentina
Fiorentina U20
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Juventus
Fiorentina
Genoa
Fiorentina
AS Roma
Fiorentina
Lecce
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Lazio
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Inter
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
Cremonese
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
Parma
Sassuolo
FC Augsburg
Sassuolo
Celta Vigo
Sassuolo
Folgore Caratese
Sassuolo
Trento
Sassuolo
Parma
Sassuolo
Padova
Sassuolo
Parma
Sassuolo
Lecce
Sassuolo
Torino
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Como
Sassuolo
Genoa
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Juventus
Sassuolo
Bologna
Sassuolo
Lazio
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo
Udinese
Sassuolo
Inter
Fiorentina
Deportivo La Coruna
Fiorentina
Gubbio
Fiorentina
Fiorentina U20
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Genoa
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
Lazio
Fiorentina
Inter
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
Fiorentina
Parma
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Pisa
Fiorentina
Torino
Fiorentina
Como
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Cremonese
Fiorentina
Udinese
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
Dynamo Kyiv
Sassuolo
FC Augsburg
Sassuolo
Trento
Sassuolo
Parma
Sassuolo
Torino
Sassuolo
Genoa
Sassuolo
Juventus
Sassuolo
Lazio
Sassuolo
Udinese
Sassuolo
Pisa
Sassuolo
Napoli
Sassuolo
AS Roma
Sassuolo
Bologna
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Como
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Lecce
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo
Como
Sassuolo
Inter
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Sassuolo
Away
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Fiorentina
Home
|
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|