ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Referee: L. Marinelli
Fiorentina
Match Timeline
Sassuolo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Luca Ranieri
Fiorentina
🟨
57'
Rolando Mandragora
Fiorentina
🔄
65'
C. Volpato ↔ L. Lipani
Sassuolo
🔄
66'
J. Harrison ↔ J. Fazzini
Fiorentina
🔄
67'
R. Mandragora ↔ G. Fabbian
Fiorentina
🔄
74'
I. Kone ↔ A. Fadera
Sassuolo
🔄
74'
A. Pinamonti ↔ M. Nzola
Sassuolo
🔄
75'
L. Balbo ↔ P. Comuzzo
Fiorentina
🟨
81'
Armand Laurienté
Sassuolo
🔄
88'
A. Lauriente ↔ L. Moro
Sassuolo
🔄
88'
N. Matic ↔ A. Vranckx
Sassuolo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 73%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
73%
-
Probability Distribution
Fiorentina Win 48.6%
Draw 0%
Sassuolo Win 51.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fiorentina1.33
Sassuolo1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WWDLW
64 GF / 65 GA
Sassuolo Sassuolo
WLDWL
42 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
29
BTTS Yes
18
30
Over 2.5
20
4.04
Shots on Goal
3.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fiorentina Fiorentina 48 matches
Sassuolo Sassuolo 35 matches
Fiorentina Statistic Sassuolo
17 Wins 14
12 Draws 6
19 Losses 15
64 Goals For 42
65 Goals Against 47
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
29 BTTS Yes 18
37 Over 1.5 26
30 Over 2.5 20
11 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 11
4.04 Shots On Goal 3.74
13.46 Total Shots 10.74
4.63 Corners 4.06
51.4% Ball Possession 44.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sassuolo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Fiorentina Analysis

With 36 points from 33 games and a place of 15, Fiorentina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 12 draws, and 13 defeats with a 36:44 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Moise Kean (8 goals), R. Mandragora (6 goals), A. Gudmundsson (5 goals), with creative support from A. Gudmundsson (4 assists), R. Mandragora (3 assists), Nicolò Fagioli (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with T. Lamptey, N. Fortini, F. Parisi, M. Pongracic unavailable.

Sassuolo Analysis

Sassuolo are currently 10 in the standings with 45 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 39:43 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Pinamonti (8 goals), Domenico Berardi (7 goals), Ismael Koné (6 goals), with creative support from A. Lauriente (8 assists), Domenico Berardi (4 assists), C. Volpato (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with F. Cande, E. Pieragnolo, F. Romagna, D. Berardi unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina won 4 times, Sassuolo won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:24 from Fiorentina's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Fiorentina 4-3-3 / Sassuolo 4-3-3
Missing players: Fiorentina 6, Sassuolo 6
H2H summary: Fiorentina wins 4, draws 4, Sassuolo wins 7
Stats
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Sassuolo Sassuolo
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 4
13 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 1
12 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 5
12 Shots insidebox 6
10 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
428 Total passes 469
374 Passes accurate 408
1.94 expected_goals 0.88
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fiorentina
Formation
Sassuolo
D. de Gea
D. de Gea
Dodo
Dodo
D. Rugani
D. Rugani
L. Ranieri
L. Ranieri
L. Balbo
L. Balbo
R. Mandragora
R. Mandragora
N. Fagioli
N. Fagioli
C. Ndour
C. Ndour
J. Harrison
J. Harrison
A. Gudmundsson
A. Gudmundsson
M. Solomon
M. Solomon
S. Turati
S. Turati
S. Walukiewicz
S. Walukiewicz
J. Idzes
J. Idzes
T. Muharemovic
T. Muharemovic
U. Garcia
U. Garcia
I. Kone
I. Kone
N. Matic
N. Matic
K. Thorstvedt
K. Thorstvedt
C. Volpato
C. Volpato
A. Pinamonti
A. Pinamonti
A. Lauriente
A. Lauriente
Fiorentina 4-3-3
Starting XI
43
D. de Gea
G
2
Dodo
D
3
D. Rugani
D
6
L. Ranieri
🟨 30'
D
62
L. Balbo
↓ 75'
D
8
R. Mandragora
↓ 67' 🟨 57'
M
44
N. Fagioli
M
27
C. Ndour
M
17
J. Harrison
↓ 66'
F
10
A. Gudmundsson
F
19
M. Solomon
F
Substitutes
1
L. Lezzerini
G
53
O. Christensen
G
22
J. Fazzini
↑ 66'
M
80
G. Fabbian
↑ 67'
M
61
R. Braschi
F
23
E. Kospo
D
60
E. Kouadio
D
4
M. Brescianini
M
15
P. Comuzzo
↑ 75'
D
69
G. Puzzoli
F
Sassuolo 4-3-3
Starting XI
13
S. Turati
G
6
S. Walukiewicz
D
21
J. Idzes
D
80
T. Muharemovic
D
23
U. Garcia
D
90
I. Kone
↓ 74'
M
18
N. Matic
↓ 88'
M
42
K. Thorstvedt
M
7
C. Volpato
↓ 65'
F
99
A. Pinamonti
↓ 74'
F
45
A. Lauriente
↓ 88' 🟨 81'
F
Substitutes
49
A. Muric
G
12
G. Satalino
G
16
G. Zacchi
G
24
L. Moro
↑ 88'
F
25
W. Coulibaly
D
20
A. Fadera
↑ 74'
F
35
L. Lipani
↑ 65'
M
66
Pedro Felipe
D
19
F. Romagna
D
8
M. Nzola
↑ 74'
F
3
J. Doig
D
40
A. Vranckx
↑ 88'
M
44
E. Iannoni
M
33
C. Frangella
M
Last matches: Fiorentina
06.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Real Madrid
2
2
D
29.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Watford
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
QPR
2
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Gubbio
1
0
W
19.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Fiorentina U20
8
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Juventus
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AS Roma
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
1
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Inter
1
1
D
19.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
4
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
08.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
0
D
Last matches: Sassuolo
08.08.26
Fri
Sassuolo
FC Augsburg
2
3
L
05.08.26
Fri
Sassuolo
Celta Vigo
1
4
L
31.07.26
Fri
Sassuolo
Folgore Caratese
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Sassuolo
Trento
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Sassuolo
Parma
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Sassuolo
Padova
4
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Parma
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Lecce
2
3
L
08.05.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Torino
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sassuolo
AC Milan
2
0
W
17.04.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Como
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Genoa
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Cagliari
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Juventus
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Bologna
0
1
L
09.03.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Lazio
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Atalanta
2
1
W
20.02.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
3
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Udinese
2
1
W
08.02.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Inter
0
5
L
H2H: Fiorentina vs Sassuolo
26.04.26
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
0
D
06.12.25
H2H
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
3
1
L
28.04.24
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
5
1
W
06.01.24
H2H
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1
0
L
02.06.23
H2H
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1
3
W
07.01.23
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
2
1
W
26.02.22
H2H
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
2
1
L
19.12.21
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
2
2
D
17.04.21
H2H
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
3
1
L
16.12.20
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
1
D
01.07.20
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
3
L
30.10.19
H2H
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1
2
W
29.04.19
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
1
L
09.12.18
H2H
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
3
3
D
21.04.18
H2H
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1
0
L
Last matches: Fiorentina
06.08.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Gubbio
1
0
W
19.07.26
Fri
Fiorentina
Fiorentina U20
8
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Atalanta
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Genoa
0
0
D
16.04.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Lazio
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Inter
1
1
D
12.03.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Raków Częstochowa
2
1
W
08.03.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Parma
0
0
D
26.02.26
UEF
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
2
4
L
23.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Pisa
1
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Torino
2
2
D
27.01.26
Cop
Fiorentina
Como
1
3
L
24.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cagliari
1
2
L
11.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
AC Milan
1
1
D
04.01.26
Ser
Fiorentina
Cremonese
1
0
W
21.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Udinese
5
1
W
14.12.25
Ser
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
1
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
Fiorentina
Dynamo Kyiv
2
1
W
H2H at home: Fiorentina
26.04.26
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
0
D
28.04.24
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
5
1
W
07.01.23
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
2
1
W
19.12.21
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
2
2
D
16.12.20
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
1
D
01.07.20
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
3
L
29.04.19
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
1
L
Last matches: Sassuolo
08.08.26
Fri
Sassuolo
FC Augsburg
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Sassuolo
Trento
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Parma
0
1
L
08.05.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Torino
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Genoa
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Juventus
1
1
D
09.03.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Lazio
1
2
L
15.02.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Udinese
2
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Pisa
3
1
W
17.01.26
Ser
Sassuolo
Napoli
0
1
L
10.01.26
Ser
Sassuolo
AS Roma
0
2
L
28.12.25
Ser
Sassuolo
Bologna
1
1
D
14.12.25
Ser
Sassuolo
AC Milan
2
2
D
28.11.25
Ser
Sassuolo
Como
0
2
L
09.11.25
Ser
Sassuolo
Atalanta
3
0
W
30.10.25
Ser
Sassuolo
Cagliari
2
1
W
18.10.25
Ser
Sassuolo
Lecce
0
0
D
03.10.25
Ser
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
1
0
W
24.09.25
Cop
Sassuolo
Como
0
3
L
21.09.25
Ser
Sassuolo
Inter
1
2
L
H2H away: Sassuolo
26.04.26
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
0
D
28.04.24
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
5
1
L
07.01.23
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
2
1
L
19.12.21
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
2
2
D
16.12.20
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
1
D
01.07.20
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1
3
W
29.04.19
H2H
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
0
1
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Fiorentina 6 missing
-
T. Lamptey
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Fortini
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
F. Parisi
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
M. Pongracic
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
R. Gosens
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Kean
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
Sassuolo 6 missing
-
F. Cande
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Pieragnolo
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
F. Romagna
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. Bakola
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
D. Boloca
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Berardi
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT