BRAZIL SERIE C
29.08.2026 20:00
Referee: B. Correia
Figueirense
Match Timeline
Maranhão
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Rosivan
Maranhão
🟨
14'
Andre Radija
Maranhão
18'
Emerson Galego
Figueirense
🟨
23'
J. Testoni
Maranhão
🟨
32'
Rosivan
Maranhão
🔄
46'
Vitor Ricardo ↔ Leo Maia
Figueirense
🟨
52'
Dudu
Figueirense
🔄
61'
Arthur Henrique ↔ Felipe Santiago
Figueirense
🔄
61'
Raynan ↔ Renan Areias
Figueirense
🔄
71'
Mailson ↔ Jose Carlos
Figueirense
🔄
73'
Jorge Rocha ↔ Rafael Teixeira
Maranhão
84'
Emerson Galego
Figueirense
🔄
87'
Emerson Galego ↔ Hyuri
Figueirense
🔄
87'
Felipe Cruz ↔ Erverson
Maranhão
🔄
87'
Luis Gustavo ↔ Richarles
Maranhão
🔄
87'
Rosivan ↔ Ronald Makalysten
Maranhão
🟨
89'
Breno
Figueirense

Figueirense vs Maranhão Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 2.07
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.4%
1.80
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
2.07
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
2.10
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
10.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
19.00
Probability Distribution
Figueirense Win 35.6%
Draw 24.8%
Maranhão Win 39.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Figueirense0.92
Maranhão1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Figueirense Figueirense
WWDLW
17 GF / 21 GA
Maranhão Maranhão
WLDWL
18 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
10
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Figueirense Figueirense 18 matches
Maranhão Maranhão 18 matches
Figueirense Statistic Maranhão
6 Wins 7
7 Draws 6
5 Losses 5
17 Goals For 18
21 Goals Against 16
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
10 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Maranhão. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maranhão having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Figueirense Analysis

With 24 points from 17 games and a place of 14, Figueirense still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 17:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maranhão Analysis

So far, Maranhão have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 24 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 14:15 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.2%)

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W W D W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation