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FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
24.07.2026 16:00
Project Liv Arena
Referee: Mohammad Al-Emara, Finland
FF Jaro
Match Timeline
SJK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Michael Ogungbaro
FF Jaro
⚽
32'
H. Sjogrell
FF Jaro
🟨
45+1'
Senne Vits
FF Jaro
🔄
46'
V. Hanninen ↔ Murilo Henrique
SJK
🔄
46'
J. Moisio ↔ S. Yussif
SJK
⚽
50'
Kelwin · Assist: A. Wilson
SJK
⚽
62'
K. Harden · Assist: R. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
70'
J. Myrevik ↔ A. Bjonback
FF Jaro
🔄
75'
Kelwin ↔ E. Mastokangas
SJK
🔄
79'
A. Bostrom ↔ Caio Araujo
SJK
🔄
80'
A. Hellemaa ↔ A. Vidjeskog
FF Jaro
🔄
80'
R. Vikstrom ↔ V. Vuorinen
FF Jaro
🟨
82'
Caio Araújo
SJK
🔄
84'
K. Harden ↔ J. Brunell
FF Jaro
🔄
84'
E. Mommo ↔ A. Cisse
SJK
🟨
90+2'
Adam Vidjeskog
FF Jaro
🟨
90+1'
Kelvin Pires
SJK

FF Jaro vs SJK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
81.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FF Jaro Win 49.6%
Draw 11.9%
SJK Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FF Jaro1.15
SJK1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WWDLW
21 GF / 40 GA
SJK SJK
WLDWL
24 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
12
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
10
2.44
Shots on Goal
1.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FF Jaro FF Jaro 21 matches
SJK SJK 21 matches
FF Jaro Statistic SJK
3 Wins 5
7 Draws 7
11 Losses 9
21 Goals For 24
40 Goals Against 29
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
12 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 8
2.44 Shots On Goal 1.94
6.31 Total Shots 4.75
2.5 Corners 2.06
29.1% Ball Possession 21.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FF Jaro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FF Jaro expected to line up in 4-4-2 and SJK in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SJK having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward SJK. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FF Jaro Analysis

FF Jaro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 11 points from 15 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 15:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through H. Sjögrell (3 goals), R. Vikström (1 goals), with creative support from F. Østigård Ness (2 assists), H. Sjögrell (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

SJK Analysis

So far, SJK have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 14 points from 15 matches. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 18:23 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Mastokangas (1 goals), with creative support from J. Streng (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FF Jaro won 4 times, SJK won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:22 from FF Jaro's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: FF Jaro 4-4-2 / SJK 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: FF Jaro wins 4, draws 2, SJK wins 9

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D D
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W W L
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W W D D W
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
L D D W D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
L W L L L
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
W L L L W
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
L D L W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
D W W W L
10
SJK Away
22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W W D D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D L W L W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs