WORLD UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE
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Stockhorn Arena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds 2.21
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.3%
2.21
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.56
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.32
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
FC Thun Win 22.5%
Draw 4.2%
Lech Poznan Win 73.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Thun1.75
Lech Poznan2.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Thun FC Thun
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
WLDWL
33 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
2.46
Average Goals Scored
2.54
2.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
9
BTTS Yes
5
11
Over 2.5
10
3.63
Shots on Goal
7.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Thun FC Thun 13 matches
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 13 matches
FC Thun Statistic Lech Poznan
5 Wins 10
2 Draws 1
6 Losses 2
32 Goals For 33
31 Goals Against 9
2.46 Avg Goals Scored 2.54
2.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.69
9 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 3
3.63 Shots On Goal 7.88
8.38 Total Shots 13.88
4.25 Corners 7.13
37.4% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, FC Thun won 0 times, Lech Poznan won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:7 from FC Thun's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 7 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Thun 4-4-2 / Lech Poznan 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Thun wins 0, draws 0, Lech Poznan wins 1
Last matches: FC Thun
20.08.26
UEF
FC Thun
Lech Poznan
0
7
L
13.08.26
UEF
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
3
L
09.08.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
2
4
L
06.08.26
UEF
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
0
6
L
28.07.26
UEF
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
2
3
L
25.07.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Luzern
3
1
W
21.07.26
UEF
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
Waldhof Mannheim
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
Neuchatel Xamax FC
6
2
W
17.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
1
1
D
14.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
3
8
L
10.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Sion
0
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
1
3
L
25.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
3
1
W
04.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
21.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Zurich
1
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
Grasshoppers
5
1
W
Last matches: Lech Poznan
20.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
FC Thun
7
0
W
14.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
5
0
W
09.08.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
3
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
1
0
W
01.08.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wieczysta Kraków
2
1
W
29.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
0
3
L
25.07.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
21.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
4
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Bohemians 1905
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Lech Poznan
Podbrezová
3
1
W
23.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
08.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
4
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
12.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
GKS Katowice
3
3
D
04.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Nieciecza
4
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
H2H: FC Thun vs Lech Poznan
20.08.26
H2H
Lech Poznan
FC Thun
7
0
L
Last matches: FC Thun
06.08.26
UEF
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
0
6
L
21.07.26
UEF
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
Waldhof Mannheim
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
SV Elversberg
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
FC Thun
Neuchatel Xamax FC
6
2
W
14.05.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
3
8
L
25.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Lugano
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
3
1
W
14.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
Grasshoppers
5
1
W
05.03.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
2
2
D
28.02.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Luzern
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
FC Thun
FC Sion
1
0
W
12.02.26
Sup
FC Thun
Lausanne
5
1
W
25.01.26
Sup
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
4
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
FC Thun
FC WIL 1900
7
1
W
07.01.26
Fri
FC Thun
Rapperswil
4
0
W
20.12.25
Sup
FC Thun
FC Zurich
4
2
W
13.12.25
Sup
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
0
2
L
06.12.25
Sup
FC Thun
FC Luzern
4
1
W
Last matches: Lech Poznan
14.08.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
5
0
W
01.08.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wieczysta Kraków
2
1
W
21.07.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Aarhus
4
1
W
16.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
02.05.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
1
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
04.04.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
19.03.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
07.03.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Widzew Łódź
1
2
L
22.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
19.02.26
UEF
Lech Poznan
KuPS
2
0
W
07.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
03.02.26
Eks
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
Sigma Olomouc
2
1
W
07.12.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
2
2
D
30.11.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Wisla Plock
0
0
D
09.11.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Arka Gdynia
1
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Lech Poznan
Rayo Vallecano
2
3
L
26.10.25
Eks
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.21
Draw 4.09
Home 2.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.78
Draw 2.47
Home 3.26
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.25 1.45
Over 2.5 1.56
Over 2.75 1.69
Over 3.0 1.91
Over 3.25 2.16
Over 3.5 2.41
Over 4.5 4.09
Under 1.5 4.83
Under 2.25 2.67
Under 2.5 2.38
Under 2.75 2.13
Under 3.0 1.88
Under 3.25 1.68
Under 3.5 1.55
Under 4.5 1.22
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 4.00
Home 2.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.38
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.75
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.38
Over 4.5 4.00
Over 5.5 7.00
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 10.50
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.35
Under 3.5 1.53
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.30
Draw 4.06
Home 2.86
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.65
Draw 2.42
Home 3.18
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.51
Draw 2.70
Home 2.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.05
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 1.75 1.14
Over 2.0 1.18
Over 2.25 1.33
Over 2.5 1.49
Over 2.75 1.63
Over 3.0 1.83
Over 3.25 2.20
Over 3.5 2.47
Over 3.75 2.72
Over 4.0 3.44
Over 4.25 3.68
Over 4.5 4.10
Over 4.75 5.10
Over 5.0 7.20
Over 5.25 7.50
Over 5.5 7.90
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 17.50
Under 1.0 13.50
Under 1.25 6.50
Under 1.5 4.85
Under 1.75 4.39
Under 2.0 3.90
Under 2.25 2.84
Under 2.5 2.32
Under 2.75 2.10
Under 3.0 1.84
Under 3.25 1.74
Under 3.5 1.60
Under 3.75 1.38
Under 4.0 1.25
Under 4.25 1.20
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 4.75 1.10
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.25 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.17
Draw 3.80
Home 2.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.35
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 2.85
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.52
Over 2.75 1.64
Over 3.0 1.83
Over 3.25 2.07
Over 3.5 2.33
Over 3.75 2.65
Over 4.5 4.10
Over 5.5 8.00
Under 1.5 4.90
Under 2.5 2.33
Under 2.75 2.07
Under 3.0 1.84
Under 3.25 1.65
Under 3.5 1.52
Under 3.75 1.40
Under 4.5 1.19
Under 5.5 1.04