SWITZERLAND SUPER LEAGUE
12.09.2026 16:00
Kybunpark

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Sion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.7%
1.36
BTTS Yes
86%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.40
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
FC ST. Gallen Win 44.6%
Draw 22%
FC Sion Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC ST. Gallen1.83
FC Sion2.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
WWDLW
33 GF / 35 GA
FC Sion FC Sion
WLDWL
55 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
3.06
2.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
11
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
17
5.83
Shots on Goal
5.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 17 matches
FC Sion FC Sion 18 matches
FC ST. Gallen Statistic FC Sion
9 Wins 12
1 Draws 2
7 Losses 4
33 Goals For 55
35 Goals Against 30
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 3.06
2.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
11 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 13
2 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 0
5.83 Shots On Goal 5.92
17.5 Total Shots 16.83
5.33 Corners 6.08
44.8% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features FC Sion's more proactive style and FC ST. Gallen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC ST. Gallen expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and FC Sion in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Sion having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Sion. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FC ST. Gallen Analysis

FC ST. Gallen sit 6 with 7 points after 5 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Owusu (2 goals), L. Daschner (2 goals), A. Balde (1 goals), with creative support from E. Owusu (1 assists), A. Balde (1 assists), C. Okoroji (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Sion Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 9 points from 5 games, FC Sion bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 11:9, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Winsley Boteli Mokango (5 goals), D. Rrudhani (2 goals), J. Lukembila (1 goals), with creative support from J. Lukembila (2 assists), F. Surdez (2 assists), Baltazar Costa (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC ST. Gallen won 6 times, FC Sion won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:20 from FC ST. Gallen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78%)
Predicted formations: FC ST. Gallen 3-1-4-2 / FC Sion 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: FC ST. Gallen wins 6, draws 5, FC Sion wins 4

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 17:4 13 18
W W W W W
2 7 4 3 0 26:14 12 15
D W D W D
3 6 4 0 2 14:11 3 12
W W L W W
4 6 3 1 2 12:11 1 10
W L L D W
5 7 3 1 3 12:12 0 10
L L D W W
6 7 2 3 2 10:13 -3 9
D W D W D
7 6 2 1 3 11:17 -6 7
L D W L L
8 7 2 1 4 11:18 -7 7
D L W L L
9 7 2 0 5 16:17 -1 6
W L W L L
10 7 1 3 3 7:10 -3 6
L D L L D
11 6 1 2 3 9:14 -5 5
D W L L L
12 6 1 1 4 4:8 -4 4
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs