Login Register
GERMANY › 3. LIGA
13.10.2026 17:00
Ludwigspark-Stadion
Referee: Felix Weller
FC Saarbrücken
Match Timeline
MSV Duisburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
29'
Lex-Tyger Lobinger · Assist: Aljaž Casar
MSV Duisburg
⚽
34'
Tobias Fleckstein
MSV Duisburg
⚽
42'
Rasim Bulic · Assist: Lex-Tyger Lobinger
MSV Duisburg
🔄
45'
Kaan Caliskaner ↔ Kai Brünker
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
45'
Daniel Gleiber ↔ Sebastian Vasiliadis
FC Saarbrücken
🟨
47'
Philip Fahrner
FC Saarbrücken
⚽
50'
Kai Brünker
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
54'
Philip Fahrner ↔ Calogero Rizzuto
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
60'
Alexander Staff ↔ Gokdeniz Gurpuz
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
67'
Lex-Tyger Lobinger ↔ Peter Remmert
MSV Duisburg
🔄
67'
Conor Noss ↔ Ramien Safi
MSV Duisburg
🟨
69'
Florian Pick
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
75'
niklas jessen ↔ Max Besuschkow
MSV Duisburg
🔄
75'
Frederik Christensen ↔ Can Coskun
MSV Duisburg
🔄
78'
Zac Shuaib ↔ Christian Kühlwetter
FC Saarbrücken
🔄
79'
Dominik Kother ↔ Florian Krüger
MSV Duisburg
⚽
81'
Florian Krüger · Assist: Joshua Bitter
MSV Duisburg
⚽
90'
Gokdeniz Gurpuz
FC Saarbrücken

FC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.3%
Odds 2.58
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.3%
2.58 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.63 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Saarbrücken Win 37.4%
Draw 15.3%
MSV Duisburg Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Saarbrücken2.19
MSV Duisburg1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken
WWDLW
42 GF / 19 GA
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
WLDWL
33 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2.8
Average Goals Scored
2.2
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
11
4.25
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken 15 matches
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 15 matches
FC Saarbrücken Statistic MSV Duisburg
7 Wins 10
5 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
42 Goals For 33
19 Goals Against 19
2.8 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
9 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
4.25 Shots On Goal 5
12.5 Total Shots 10.25
5.13 Corners 3.88
38.6% Ball Possession 35.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors MSV Duisburg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. MSV Duisburg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 18 points while FC Saarbrücken sit 4 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. MSV Duisburg look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Saarbrücken expected to line up in 4-4-2 and MSV Duisburg in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward MSV Duisburg having the stronger overall control.

FC Saarbrücken Analysis

FC Saarbrücken arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 13 points after 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 19:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

MSV Duisburg Analysis

MSV Duisburg approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 18 points after 7 outings. The return of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 19:7, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, FC Saarbrücken won 4 times, MSV Duisburg won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from FC Saarbrücken's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
Predicted formations: FC Saarbrücken 4-4-2 / MSV Duisburg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Saarbrücken wins 4, draws 4, MSV Duisburg wins 4

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 26:11 15 24
W W W W L
2 9 6 1 2 26:13 13 19
D W W W W
3 9 5 3 1 18:12 6 18
W D D W W
4 9 4 3 2 17:17 0 15
L W D W L
5 9 4 2 3 21:16 5 14
L D W D L
6 9 4 2 3 10:10 0 14
W D L W W
7 9 4 1 4 18:14 4 13
L L W W D
8 9 4 1 4 16:14 2 13
L W W L W
9 9 3 3 3 16:18 -2 12
L D L D W
10 9 3 3 3 14:17 -3 12
D D W D W
11 9 3 2 4 16:18 -2 11
W D D L L
12 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L L W L D
13 9 3 2 4 12:15 -3 11
W L L L W
14 9 3 2 4 12:15 -3 11
W W L W L
15 9 2 4 3 8:10 -2 10
L D W L D
16 9 3 1 5 11:16 -5 10
W D L L L
17 9 2 3 4 20:19 1 9
D W D L D
18 9 2 3 4 9:16 -7 9
D L L D D
19 9 2 2 5 13:19 -6 8
D L L W L
20 9 1 2 6 12:22 -10 5
D L L L D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation