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20.10.2026 19:00
Estádio do Dragão
Referee: Daniel Siebert

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53%
Odds 4.94
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53%
4.94 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.52 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
11.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 37.2%
Draw 9.9%
PSV Eindhoven Win 53%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto1.82
PSV Eindhoven1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto FC Porto
WWDLW
27 GF / 12 GA
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
WLDWL
43 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
2.08
Average Goals Scored
2.69
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
7
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
12
5.6
Shots on Goal
6.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Porto FC Porto 13 matches
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 16 matches
FC Porto Statistic PSV Eindhoven
10 Wins 9
0 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
27 Goals For 43
12 Goals Against 23
2.08 Avg Goals Scored 2.69
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
7 BTTS Yes 13
12 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
5.6 Shots On Goal 6.55
14.6 Total Shots 18.09
5.7 Corners 6.73
51.9% Ball Possession 59.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Porto 4, PSV Eindhoven 9

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 10:3 7 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:1 5 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 8:4 4 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
7 2 2 0 0 4:0 4 6
W W
8 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
9 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
10 2 1 1 0 8:3 5 4
D W
11 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
12 2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
13 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
14 2 1 0 1 5:4 1 3
W L
15 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
16 2 1 0 1 6:6 0 3
W L
17 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
L W
18 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
19 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
L W
20 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
L W
21 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
22 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
23 2 1 0 1 4:7 -3 3
W L
24 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
W L
25 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
26 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
27 2 0 1 1 4:6 -2 1
D L
28 2 0 1 1 1:7 -6 1
L D
29 2 0 0 2 4:6 -2 0
L L
30 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
31 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
32 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
L L
33 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
34 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
35 2 0 0 2 2:7 -5 0
L L
36 2 0 0 2 1:9 -8 0
L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)