Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
FC Porto
Alverca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Porto
43 matches
Alverca
31 matches
| FC Porto | Statistic | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 3 | Losses | 13 |
| 81 | Goals For | 34 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 49 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 0.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 22 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.26 | Shots On Goal | 3.65 |
| 14.3 | Total Shots | 9.77 |
| 5.42 | Corners | 4.39 |
| 53.9% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Porto's more proactive style and Alverca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. FC Porto come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. FC Porto arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 82 points compared to Alverca in 9 on 38, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Porto expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Alverca in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alverca having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Alverca.
FC Porto approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 82 points after 31 outings. They have recorded 26 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 63:15 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Samu (13 goals), William Gomes (8 goals), V. Froholdt (6 goals), with creative support from A. Costa (8 assists), G. Veiga (7 assists), V. Froholdt (6 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
So far, Alverca have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 38 points from 31 matches. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 34:49 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marezi (9 goals), Figueiredo (5 goals), Sandro Lima (5 goals), with creative support from Lincoln (5 assists), Chiquinho (4 assists), Nabil Touaizi (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 2 times, Alverca won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:0 from FC Porto's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
FC Porto
3
5
2
4
7
1
Lineups
FC Porto
Santa Clara
FC Porto
AVS
FC Porto
Estrela
FC Porto
Tondela
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
Estoril
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
Famalicao
FC Porto
SC Braga
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
FC Porto
Moreirense
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
FC Porto
Benfica
FC Porto
Arouca
FC Porto
Rio Ave
FC Porto
Nacional
FC Porto
Sporting CP
FC Porto
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Rangers
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
Alverca
Famalicao
Alverca
Estoril
Alverca
Arouca
Alverca
Nacional
Alverca
Casa Pia
Alverca
Rio Ave
Alverca
Sporting CP
Alverca
GIL Vicente
Alverca
AVS
Alverca
Guimaraes
Alverca
Santa Clara
Alverca
Tondela
Alverca
Benfica
Alverca
Estrela
Alverca
SC Braga
Alverca
Moreirense
Alverca
Famalicao
Alverca
Estoril
Alverca
FC Porto
Alverca
Arouca
FC Porto
Santa Clara
FC Porto
Tondela
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
Famalicao
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
FC Porto
Moreirense
FC Porto
Arouca
FC Porto
Rio Ave
FC Porto
Sporting CP
FC Porto
Rangers
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
AVS
FC Porto
Estrela
FC Porto
Malmo FF
FC Porto
Estoril
FC Porto
Nice
FC Porto
SC Braga
FC Porto
Benfica
FC Porto
FK Crvena Zvezda
FC Porto
Nacional
Alverca
Famalicao
Alverca
Nacional
Alverca
Rio Ave
Alverca
GIL Vicente
Alverca
Guimaraes
Alverca
Tondela
Alverca
Benfica
Alverca
SC Braga
Alverca
Estoril
Alverca
Arouca
Alverca
Casa Pia
Alverca
Sporting CP
Alverca
AVS
Alverca
Santa Clara
Alverca
Estrela
Alverca
Moreirense