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ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
11.10.2026 11:30
A. Le Coq Arena
FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Timeline
Paide
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
R. Smirnov
Paide
🟨
6'
F. Liivak
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
23'
Wendell
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
31'
J. Saliste
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
36'
M. Jobarteh
Paide
⚽
45+2'
Wendell · Assist: Wendell
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
46'
M. Jobarteh ↔ J. Palacios
Paide
🔄
46'
R. Smirnov ↔ O. Hoim
Paide
🔄
46'
D. Darboe ↔ K. Piht
Paide
🟨
52'
V. Iboro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
66'
N. Kutateladze ↔ M. Roosnupp
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
66'
M. Skvortsov ↔ G. Reis
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
71'
D. Luts ↔ S. Luts
Paide
🔄
73'
Alexandre ↔ T. Tammik
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
73'
A. Nwankwo ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
77'
T. Tammik
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
80'
K. Piht
Paide
🔄
81'
M. Miller ↔ A. Surogin
Paide
⚽
89'
G. Reis · Assist: F. Liivak
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
90+4'
Wendell ↔ R. Kirss
FC Levadia Tallinn

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.3%
Odds 1.47
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.3%
1.47 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.44 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.11 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 67.3%
Draw 2.8%
Paide Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Levadia Tallinn2.15
Paide1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WWDLW
103 GF / 34 GA
Paide Paide
WLDWL
70 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
1.63
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
23
BTTS Yes
29
28
Over 2.5
23
0
Shots on Goal
0.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 38 matches
Paide Paide 43 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn Statistic Paide
27 Wins 21
7 Draws 10
4 Losses 12
103 Goals For 70
34 Goals Against 56
2.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
23 BTTS Yes 29
35 Over 1.5 34
28 Over 2.5 23
20 Over 3.5 16
14 Clean Sheets 10
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0.75
0 Total Shots 2.5
0 Corners 1.25
0% Ball Possession 15.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. FC Levadia Tallinn arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 72 points compared to Paide in 3 on 51, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Paide. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Paide having the stronger overall control. FC Levadia Tallinn come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 72 points after 29 outings. They have recorded 22 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, with a 81:21 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Paide Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 51 points from 29 games, Paide bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 48:36, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FC Levadia Tallinn won 9 times, Paide won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from FC Levadia Tallinn's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.2%)
H2H summary: FC Levadia Tallinn wins 9, draws 2, Paide wins 3

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 22 6 1 81:21 60 72
D W W W W
2 29 18 1 10 59:39 20 55
W W D W W
3
Paide Away
29 15 6 8 48:36 12 51
W W L W L
4 30 15 5 10 52:28 24 50
L W W L L
5 30 15 2 13 41:47 -6 47
W L L W L
6 30 12 2 16 41:47 -6 38
W D W L L
7 30 10 5 15 41:59 -18 35
D L L L W
8 29 8 5 16 31:49 -18 29
D L L W D
9 30 9 1 20 47:72 -25 28
L L L W L
10 30 5 5 20 24:67 -43 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga