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11.10.2026 12:30
MAC³PARK Stadion
Referee: Sander van der Eijk
PEC Zwolle
Match Timeline
Cambuur
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
Sherel Floranus
PEC Zwolle
🟨
39'
Devid Eugene Bouah
Cambuur
🔄
47'
F. Kvam ↔ J. Ceka
Cambuur
🔄
47'
E. Apkakou ↔ N. Binder
Cambuur
🟨
52'
Ibrahim Cissoko
PEC Zwolle
🟨
56'
Jason Ceka
Cambuur
🔄
60'
K. Kostons ↔ S. van Hooijdonk
PEC Zwolle
🔄
60'
I. Cissoko ↔ E. Sorensen
PEC Zwolle
🔄
67'
M. Maertens ↔ S. Bouhoudane
Cambuur
🟨
73'
Morgan Costarelli
Cambuur
🔄
74'
D. Bouah ↔ J. Amofa
Cambuur
🔄
78'
D. Mbayo ↔ G. Reiziger
PEC Zwolle
🔄
78'
T. Oosting ↔ G. van der Wal
PEC Zwolle
🔄
79'
↔ R. Mulders
Cambuur
⚽
83'
N. Binder
Cambuur
🟨
86'
Gabriel Reiziger
PEC Zwolle
🔄
87'
S. Floranus ↔ D. van der Haar
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
77.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
PEC Zwolle Win 22.1%
Draw 45.9%
Cambuur Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
PEC Zwolle1.53
Cambuur1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
L L D L W
5 GF / 15 GA
Cambuur Cambuur
D W D L L
9 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.42
2.64
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
5
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
10
3.43
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 11 matches
Cambuur Cambuur 12 matches
PEC Zwolle Statistic Cambuur
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
8 Losses 7
11 Goals For 17
29 Goals Against 28
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
2.64 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
5 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 1
3.43 Shots On Goal 4.14
10.57 Total Shots 11.71
4.14 Corners 3.71
39.9% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Cambuur. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. PEC Zwolle have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

PEC Zwolle Analysis

PEC Zwolle approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 4 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 6:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Kostons (2 goals), N. Viergever (1 goals), E. Sørensen (1 goals), with creative support from D. Mbayo (2 assists), T. Sommer (1 assists), T. Oosting (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cambuur Analysis

Cambuur approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 5 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 10:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. El Arguioui (4 goals), I. Hamache (3 goals), N. Binder (1 goals), with creative support from N. Binder (2 assists), I. Hamache (1 assists), N. Souren (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, PEC Zwolle won 5 times, Cambuur won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from PEC Zwolle's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.9%)
Predicted formations: PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1 / Cambuur 4-2-3-1
Missing players: PEC Zwolle 4, Cambuur 3
H2H summary: PEC Zwolle wins 5, draws 1, Cambuur wins 5

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 3 0 32:11 21 24
D W W W W
2 10 6 3 1 29:13 16 21
W W D D W
3 10 6 2 2 28:13 15 20
D L W L W
4 10 6 2 2 19:10 9 20
W L D W W
5 10 6 2 2 20:12 8 20
L D L W D
6 10 5 3 2 17:17 0 18
W D D W L
7 10 4 3 3 18:13 5 15
W W L W D
8 10 4 3 3 24:21 3 15
D L W W D
9 10 3 5 2 23:23 0 14
W L D D D
10 10 3 3 4 19:22 -3 12
W D W D W
11 10 3 3 4 17:27 -10 12
D W W L W
12 10 2 5 3 17:18 -1 11
D D D D L
13 10 3 2 5 16:19 -3 11
L L L D L
14 10 2 3 5 17:24 -7 9
L W D L L
15 10 2 2 6 11:23 -12 8
D W L L L
16 10 1 3 6 12:21 -9 6
L L D L D
17 10 1 3 6 13:23 -10 6
L W D D L
18 10 0 2 8 10:32 -22 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie