🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
14.05.2026 00:30
Toyota Stadium
Referee: R. Mendoza
FC Dallas
Match Timeline
Vancouver Whitecaps
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Tristan Blackmon
Vancouver Whitecaps
10'
P. Musa
FC Dallas
🟨
12'
Ran Binyamin
FC Dallas
🟨
14'
Shaq Moore
FC Dallas
23'
S. Berhalter · Assist: C. Sabaly
Vancouver Whitecaps
27'
O. Urhoghide
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
45+8'
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
46'
E. Sabbi ↔ B. Caicedo
Vancouver Whitecaps
49'
L. Farrington · Assist: R. Binyamin
FC Dallas
🟨
60'
Logan Farrington
FC Dallas
🔄
61'
C. Sabaly ↔ K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
Vancouver Whitecaps
64'
S. Berhalter · Assist: K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
68'
Ramiro ↔ S. Moreno
FC Dallas
🔄
68'
R. Binyamin ↔ J. Valiente
FC Dallas
🔄
68'
L. Farrington ↔ S. Sarver
FC Dallas
🔄
76'
B. White ↔ R. Elloumi
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
79'
Édier Ocampo
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
79'
S. Ibeagha ↔ H. Johansson
FC Dallas
🔄
79'
Kaick ↔ P. Delgado
FC Dallas
🔄
84'
A. Cubas ↔ T. Muller
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
84'
E. Ocampo ↔ R. Veselinovic
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
90+4'
Kenji Cabrera
Vancouver Whitecaps

FC Dallas vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Dallas Win 42.8%
Draw 12.4%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 44.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Dallas1.54
Vancouver Whitecaps1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WWDLW
31 GF / 18 GA
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WLDWL
32 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
8
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
9
4.75
Shots on Goal
6.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Dallas FC Dallas 16 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 19 matches
FC Dallas Statistic Vancouver Whitecaps
7 Wins 10
5 Draws 3
4 Losses 6
31 Goals For 32
18 Goals Against 18
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
8 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 5
4.75 Shots On Goal 6.27
12.67 Total Shots 17.53
4.5 Corners 6.47
43.2% Ball Possession 58.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Vancouver Whitecaps seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Dallas expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Vancouver Whitecaps in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vancouver Whitecaps having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vancouver Whitecaps. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 26 points while FC Dallas sit 7 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Dallas Analysis

FC Dallas sit 7 with 19 points after 12 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 23:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Musa (10 goals), L. Farrington (4 goals), Sam Sarver (2 goals), with creative support from P. Musa (2 assists), L. Farrington (2 assists), J. Valiente (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Geovane Jesus, A. A. Julio Santos, B. Kamungo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 26 points after 11 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 27:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. White (8 goals), S. Berhalter (4 goals), T. Muller (4 goals), with creative support from S. Berhalter (4 assists), M. Laborda (2 assists), Emmanuel Sabbi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with S. Adekugbe, R. Gauld, B. Halbouni unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Dallas won 2 times, Vancouver Whitecaps won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:25 from FC Dallas's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: FC Dallas 3-4-3 / Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
Missing players: FC Dallas 3, Vancouver Whitecaps 5
H2H summary: FC Dallas wins 2, draws 5, Vancouver Whitecaps wins 8

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)