Login Register
🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
06.09.2026 00:30
Toyota Stadium
Referee: Lorenzo Hernandez, USA
FC Dallas
Match Timeline
Sporting Kansas City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Emir Karić
Sporting Kansas City
⚽
4'
T. Calheira
Sporting Kansas City
⚽
19'
S. Afrifa
Sporting Kansas City
⚽
27'
L. Farrington · Assist: P. Musa
FC Dallas
⚽
30'
P. Musa · Assist: B. Kamungo
FC Dallas
⚽
45'
Kaick · Assist: L. Farrington
FC Dallas
🔄
58'
Andre Luiz ↔ S. Suleymanov
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
62'
H. Johansson ↔ S. Ibeagha
FC Dallas
🔄
62'
Ramiro ↔ C. Cappis
FC Dallas
🔄
66'
S. Afrifa ↔ S. Reid
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
75'
J. Valiente ↔ R. Binyamin
FC Dallas
🔄
75'
L. Farrington ↔ S. Moreno
FC Dallas
⚽
78'
T. Calheira · Assist: E. Karic
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
81'
N. Norris ↔ S. Sarver
FC Dallas
🔄
85'
J. Reynolds ↔ J. Miller
Sporting Kansas City
🔄
85'
E. Karic ↔ J. Reid
Sporting Kansas City
🟨
88'
Moises Mosquera
Sporting Kansas City
VAR
90+3'
Petar Musa
FC Dallas
⚽
90'
P. Musa
FC Dallas

FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Dallas Win 64.8%
Draw 18.5%
Sporting Kansas City Win 16.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Dallas1.98
Sporting Kansas City1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WWDLW
49 GF / 39 GA
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
WLDWL
25 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
15
BTTS Yes
14
18
Over 2.5
19
4.45
Shots on Goal
3.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Dallas FC Dallas 26 matches
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 28 matches
FC Dallas Statistic Sporting Kansas City
11 Wins 7
8 Draws 3
7 Losses 18
49 Goals For 25
39 Goals Against 60
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
15 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 19
13 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 12
4.45 Shots On Goal 3.55
11.91 Total Shots 9.36
4.23 Corners 3.68
41.6% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Dallas's more proactive style and Sporting Kansas City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. FC Dallas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 33 points compared to Sporting Kansas City in 15 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sporting Kansas City. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Dallas expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Sporting Kansas City in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Kansas City having the stronger overall control. Sporting Kansas City arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

FC Dallas Analysis

FC Dallas come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 33 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 38:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Petar Musa (9 goals), Sam Sarver (3 goals), Santiago Moreno (2 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Valiente (4 assists), Petar Musa (2 assists), Santiago Moreno (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sporting Kansas City Analysis

Sporting Kansas City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 15 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 20:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Dejan Joveljić (6 goals), Manu García (2 goals), Calvin Harris (2 goals), with creative support from Manu García (3 assists), Calvin Harris (2 assists), Dejan Joveljić (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Dallas won 8 times, Sporting Kansas City won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:27 from FC Dallas's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83.3%)
Predicted formations: FC Dallas 3-4-2-1 / Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2
Missing players: FC Dallas 4, Sporting Kansas City 3
H2H summary: FC Dallas wins 8, draws 1, Sporting Kansas City wins 6

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 6 7 61:30 31 51
D L D W L
2 28 14 8 6 54:38 16 50
W W W W D
3 28 13 8 7 52:45 7 47
L W D W W
4 28 13 7 8 50:40 10 46
D W D W W
5 28 13 6 9 36:34 2 45
D L D L W
6 29 11 9 9 44:31 13 42
D L D L W
7 28 11 8 9 38:35 3 41
W W W W D
8 28 11 4 13 39:39 0 37
D L D W D
9 29 9 9 11 39:50 -11 36
L W W D L
10 28 9 6 13 51:54 -3 33
D L L L D
11 28 9 5 14 41:46 -5 32
L W L L L
12 28 8 8 12 48:51 -3 32
L D D L L
13 28 7 10 11 36:51 -15 31
L D D W D
14 28 7 9 12 42:51 -9 30
D L L L L
15 28 6 4 18 35:68 -33 22
D L W L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)