17.07.2026 18:00
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Referee: J. Cartagena
FC Cajamarca
Match Timeline
Juan Pablo II College
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
22'
E. Ramirez ↔ N. Ramirez
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
25'
Jack Durán
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
30'
José Soto
FC Cajamarca
🔄
30'
H. Bazan ↔ C. Flores
Juan Pablo II College
VAR
32'
José Soto
FC Cajamarca
🟨
34'
Carlos Correa
FC Cajamarca
38'
Brandon Palacios
FC Cajamarca
🟨
38'
Carlos Meza
FC Cajamarca
🟨
41'
Alejandro Pósito
FC Cajamarca
🔄
46'
P. Miguez ↔ A. Rojas
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
53'
C. Meza ↔ S. Enciso
FC Cajamarca
68'
M. Arrasco · Assist: S. Enciso
FC Cajamarca
🟨
70'
Martín Alaníz
Juan Pablo II College
🟥
73'
Jorge Toledo
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
75'
C. A. Correa Flores ↔ J. Vega
FC Cajamarca
🔄
75'
J. Posito ↔ N. Leguizamon
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
75'
↔ J. Torres
Juan Pablo II College
80'
S. Enciso · Assist: B. Palacios
FC Cajamarca
🔄
82'
M. Arrasco ↔ V. Sandoval
FC Cajamarca
🟨
90+6'
Carlos Gómez
FC Cajamarca
🟨
90+10'
Matias Vega
Juan Pablo II College
🟥
90+12'
Alvaro Rojas
Juan Pablo II College
90'
J. Torres · Assist: P. Reyna
Juan Pablo II College
90'
N. Leguizamon
Juan Pablo II College

FC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Cajamarca Win 84.1%
Draw 7.9%
Juan Pablo II College Win 7.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Cajamarca1.72
Juan Pablo II College1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca
WWDLW
25 GF / 29 GA
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WLDWL
25 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
2.22
12
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
13
3.06
Shots on Goal
2.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 18 matches
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 18 matches
FC Cajamarca Statistic Juan Pablo II College
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
8 Losses 9
25 Goals For 25
29 Goals Against 40
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 2.22
12 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 7
0 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 4
3.06 Shots On Goal 2.88
8.35 Total Shots 8.59
2.71 Corners 3.47
41.2% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Juan Pablo II College. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Cajamarca expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Juan Pablo II College in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juan Pablo II College having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Cajamarca Analysis

FC Cajamarca sit 15 with 17 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats with a 23:28 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on H. Barcos (9 goals), B. Palacios (5 goals), A. Rodriguez (2 goals), with creative support from H. Barcos (3 assists), R. Lagos (3 assists), T. Andrade (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College sit 18 with 16 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:40, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through M. Alaniz (4 goals), M. Juambeltz (3 goals), P. Fuentes (3 goals), with creative support from M. Alaniz (6 assists), C. Cueva (3 assists), M. Juambeltz (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, FC Cajamarca won 0 times, Juan Pablo II College won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from FC Cajamarca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.1%)
Predicted formations: FC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1 / Juan Pablo II College 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: FC Cajamarca wins 0, draws 2, Juan Pablo II College wins 0

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 8 3 44:18 26 56
W L D L D
2 27 14 7 6 43:31 12 49
L W D W W
3 27 14 6 7 39:24 15 48
W L W W W
4 27 13 7 7 45:29 16 46
D W W L D
5 27 14 3 10 40:38 2 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 27 11 7 9 40:35 5 40
W L W W W
9 27 11 5 11 48:40 8 38
W W W L L
10 27 10 8 9 29:26 3 38
D W L W W
11 27 9 5 13 26:31 -5 32
L W L W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 27 7 9 11 35:38 -3 30
L L D L W
15 27 7 6 14 41:52 -11 27
L W L W L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 26 5 7 14 27:41 -14 22
L L L L D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2