Fakel vs Lokomotiv Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
62.2%
|
1.56 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.84 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
1.69 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
81.5%
|
1.20 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
4.55 | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
5.80 |
Fakel
Lokomotiv
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fakel
21 matches
Lokomotiv
27 matches
| Fakel | Statistic | Lokomotiv |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 13 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 26 | Goals For | 49 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.93 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.22 | Shots On Goal | 2.89 |
| 9.33 | Total Shots | 12.67 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 3.11 |
| 44.9% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lokomotiv. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fakel expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Lokomotiv in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lokomotiv having the stronger overall control.
Fakel sit 16 with 3 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 6:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Sutormin (1 goals), V. Yakimov (1 goals), R. Netfullin (1 goals), with creative support from A. Sutormin (1 assists), N. Giorgobiani (1 assists), B. Pusi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Lokomotiv sit 14 with 7 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Siljanov (1 goals), Z. Bakaev (1 goals), Aleksey Batrakov (1 goals), with creative support from A. Siljanov (1 assists), Z. Bakaev (1 assists), Aleksey Batrakov (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Fakel won 1 times, Lokomotiv won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:10 from Fakel's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 21 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 6 | 19 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 19 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 18 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Lokomotiv
Away
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Fakel
Home
|
9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
L
D
L
L
D
|