Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Excelsior Win 0%
Draw 0%
Ajax Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excelsior2
Ajax1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excelsior
WWDLW
8 GF / 3 GA
Ajax
WLDWL
14 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
10
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Excelsior
3 matches
Ajax
8 matches
| Excelsior | Statistic | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 2 |
| 8 | Goals For | 14 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 10 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 18 |
| 0 | Corners | 10 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 66% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior won 1 times, Ajax won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:44 from Excelsior's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Excelsior - / Ajax 4-3-3
H2H summary: Excelsior wins 1, draws 4, Ajax wins 10
Last matches: Excelsior
18.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
NAC Breda
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Dordrecht
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
3
2
W
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
12.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
20.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
06.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
2
0
W
01.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
24.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
0
0
D
21.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
17.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
Last matches: Ajax
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
0
0
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Feyenoord
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
07.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
1
3
L
01.03.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
0
0
D
21.02.26
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
H2H: Excelsior vs Ajax
01.02.26
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
22.11.25
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
2
W
24.04.24
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
19.08.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
4
L
16.10.22
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
7
1
L
13.04.19
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
6
2
L
11.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
7
L
06.05.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
2
L
14.12.17
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
1
L
19.03.17
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
1
D
29.10.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
L
21.02.16
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
3
0
L
20.09.15
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
0
2
L
08.03.15
H2H
Ajax
Excelsior
1
0
L
Last matches: Excelsior
04.07.26
Fri
Excelsior
Cambuur
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ere
Excelsior
FC Volendam
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
Utrecht
5
0
W
04.04.26
Ere
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0
2
L
07.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
Heerenveen
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Excelsior
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
14.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ere
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
17.01.26
Ere
Excelsior
Telstar
2
2
D
20.12.25
Ere
Excelsior
PEC Zwolle
2
1
W
05.12.25
Ere
Excelsior
Groningen
0
2
L
29.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
NAC Breda
1
0
W
08.11.25
Ere
Excelsior
Heracles
1
2
L
19.10.25
Ere
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1
0
W
27.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
1
2
L
14.09.25
Ere
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
0
1
L
30.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Twente
1
0
W
16.08.25
Ere
Excelsior
Feyenoord
1
2
L
H2H at home: Excelsior
01.02.26
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
19.08.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
4
L
11.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
7
L
06.05.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
2
L
19.03.17
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
1
D
20.09.15
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
0
2
L
Last matches: Ajax
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Feyenoord
1
1
D
07.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
1
3
L
01.03.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
0
0
D
08.02.26
Ere
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1
1
D
01.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Excelsior
2
2
D
20.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Villarreal
2
1
W
11.01.26
Ere
Ajax
Telstar
3
2
W
20.12.25
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
10.12.25
UEF
Ajax
Qarabag
4
2
W
06.12.25
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
3
1
W
09.11.25
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
26.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Twente
3
2
W
22.10.25
UEF
Ajax
Chelsea
1
5
L
04.10.25
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
3
3
D
30.09.25
UEF
Ajax
Marseille
0
4
L
21.09.25
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
H2H away: Ajax
01.02.26
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
19.08.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
4
W
11.11.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
7
W
06.05.18
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
2
W
19.03.17
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
1
1
D
20.09.15
H2H
Excelsior
Ajax
0
2
W
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
Ajax
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 |
Excelsior
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie