12.09.2026 17:45
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi

Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.88
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.6%
1.88
BTTS No
55%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.71
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.52
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 3-0
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Estudiantes L.P. Win 68.6%
Draw 3.8%
Platense Win 27.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estudiantes L.P.1.19
Platense0.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
WWDLW
47 GF / 24 GA
Platense Platense
WLDWL
29 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.81
0.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
11
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
10
5.09
Shots on Goal
3.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 37 matches
Platense Platense 36 matches
Estudiantes L.P. Statistic Platense
17 Wins 9
10 Draws 15
10 Losses 12
47 Goals For 29
24 Goals Against 38
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
0.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
11 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 3
16 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 16
5.09 Shots On Goal 3.79
14.03 Total Shots 11.82
4.41 Corners 4.18
53.9% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Estudiantes L.P.'s more proactive style and Platense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Platense. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Estudiantes L.P. have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Estudiantes L.P. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 31 points compared to Platense in 12 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Estudiantes L.P. Analysis

Estudiantes L.P. approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 1 with 31 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with a 19:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Adolfo Gaich (3 goals), Alexis Castro (2 goals), Guido Carrillo (1 goals), with creative support from Tiago Palacios (3 assists), Guido Carrillo (1 assists), Mikel Amondarain (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Platense Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Platense have collected 16 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 10:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Retamar (2 goals), B. Merlini (2 goals), F. Zapiola (1 goals), with creative support from F. Zapiola (2 assists), N. Retamar (1 assists), B. Merlini (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 4 times, Platense won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:8 from Estudiantes L.P.'s perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1 / Platense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estudiantes L.P. wins 4, draws 3, Platense wins 2

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
L D L W L
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D W D D D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L D D L L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W L D W L
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W L D L W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L D W L
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
W W W L L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
L W D W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W L W W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D W W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
D L W D W
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L D L L W
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D D W W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D D D L W
Knockout Phase