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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estrela
FT
1 - 2
FC Porto
Estádio José Gomes
Referee: H. Carvalho
Estrela
Match Timeline
FC Porto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Kevin Höög Jansson
Estrela
⚽
17'
D. Gul
FC Porto
🟨
24'
Deniz Gül
FC Porto
⚽
37'
D. Gul · Assist: A. Costa
FC Porto
🔄
46'
G. Doue ↔ P. Moreira
Estrela
🔄
46'
K. Jansson ↔ J. Encada
Estrela
🔄
46'
M. Scholze ↔ Jovane
Estrela
🔄
61'
D. Gul ↔ T. Moffi
FC Porto
🔄
61'
Pepê ↔ William Gomes
FC Porto
🔄
70'
A. Costa ↔ M. Fernandes
FC Porto
🔄
70'
G. Veiga ↔ R. Mora
FC Porto
🔄
72'
Rodrigo Pinho ↔ S. van Hooijdonk
Estrela
🔄
73'
I. Stoica ↔ Alisson Souza
Estrela
⚽
79'
Jovane · Assist: S. van Hooijdonk
Estrela
🟨
82'
Terem Moffi
FC Porto
🔄
84'
J. Kiwior ↔ S. Fofana
FC Porto
🟨
86'
Stefan Leković
Estrela
🟨
89'
Sydney van Hooijdonk
Estrela
🟨
90+4'
Diogo Costa
FC Porto

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.9%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 29%
Draw 0%
FC Porto Win 71%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela0.89
FC Porto1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela Estrela
WWDLW
33 GF / 49 GA
FC Porto FC Porto
WLDWL
79 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
13
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
22
3.67
Shots on Goal
5.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Estrela Estrela 30 matches
FC Porto FC Porto 42 matches
Estrela Statistic FC Porto
6 Wins 32
10 Draws 7
14 Losses 3
33 Goals For 79
49 Goals Against 24
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
13 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 32
15 Over 2.5 22
11 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 22
14 Failed To Score 3
3.67 Shots On Goal 5.29
11.27 Total Shots 14.38
3.5 Corners 5.4
48.3% Ball Possession 53.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 1 times, FC Porto won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:13 from Estrela's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Estrela 4-2-3-1 / FC Porto 4-3-3
H2H summary: Estrela wins 1, draws 1, FC Porto wins 5
Stats
Estrela Estrela
FC Porto FC Porto
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
0 Corner Kicks 6
15 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 3
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
348 Total passes 401
267 Passes accurate 328
1.68 expected_goals 1.88
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Estrela
Formation
FC Porto
D. Grilo
D. Grilo
M. Scholze
↓
M. Scholze
S. Lekovic
S. Lekovic
Otavio
Otavio
B. Langa
B. Langa
G. Doue
↓
G. Doue
K. Jansson
↓
K. Jansson
A. Marcus
A. Marcus
I. Stoica
↓
I. Stoica
Robinho
Robinho
Rodrigo Pinho
↓
Rodrigo Pinho
D. Costa
D. Costa
A. Costa
🎯 ↓
A. Costa
Thiago Silva
Thiago Silva
J. Bednarek
J. Bednarek
J. Kiwior
↓
J. Kiwior
V. Froholdt
V. Froholdt
P. Rosario
P. Rosario
G. Veiga
↓
G. Veiga
Pepê
↓
Pepê
D. Gul
⚽ 2 ↓
D. Gul
O. Pietuszewski
O. Pietuszewski
Estrela 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
D. Grilo
G
21
M. Scholze
↓ 46'
D
4
S. Lekovic
🟨 86'
D
83
Otavio
D
24
B. Langa
D
39
G. Doue
↓ 46'
M
6
K. Jansson
↓ 46' 🟨 15'
M
99
A. Marcus
M
10
I. Stoica
↓ 73'
M
8
Robinho
M
9
Rodrigo Pinho
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
13
Dudu
G
19
P. Moreira
↑ 46'
M
20
S. van Hooijdonk
🎯 79' ↑ 72' 🟨 89'
F
30
Luan Patrick
D
63
A. Sola
M
17
J. Encada
↑ 46'
D
11
Jovane
⚽ 79' ↑ 46'
F
18
J. Meireles
F
80
Alisson Souza
↑ 73'
F
FC Porto 4-3-3
Starting XI
99
D. Costa
🟨 90+4'
G
20
A. Costa
🎯 37' ↓ 70'
D
3
Thiago Silva
D
5
J. Bednarek
D
4
J. Kiwior
↓ 84'
D
8
V. Froholdt
M
13
P. Rosario
M
10
G. Veiga
↓ 70'
M
11
Pepê
↓ 61'
F
27
D. Gul
⚽ 17' ⚽ 37' ↓ 61' 🟨 24'
F
77
O. Pietuszewski
F
Substitutes
14
Claudio Ramos
G
52
M. Fernandes
↑ 70'
D
21
D. Prpic
D
42
S. Fofana
↑ 84'
M
74
F. Moura
D
29
T. Moffi
↑ 61' 🟨 82'
F
17
B. Sainz
F
86
R. Mora
↑ 70'
M
7
William Gomes
↑ 61'
F
Last matches: Estrela
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Guimaraes
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Benfica
0
4
L
19.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
0
5
L
06.01.26
Fri
Estrela
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
3
3
D
27.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
3
2
W
20.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
0
0
D
Last matches: FC Porto
16.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
AVS
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Tondela
2
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estoril
3
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Famalicao
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
SC Braga
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Moreirense
3
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Benfica
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Nacional
1
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Sporting CP
1
1
D
02.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Casa Pia
1
2
L
29.01.26
UEF
FC Porto
Rangers
3
1
W
26.01.26
Pri
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
H2H: Estrela vs FC Porto
26.04.26
H2H
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
15.12.25
H2H
FC Porto
Estrela
3
1
L
26.04.25
H2H
Estrela
FC Porto
2
0
W
16.12.24
H2H
FC Porto
Estrela
2
0
L
17.02.24
H2H
FC Porto
Estrela
2
0
L
15.09.23
H2H
Estrela
FC Porto
0
1
L
26.07.23
H2H
FC Porto
Estrela
3
3
D
Last matches: Estrela
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
1
0
W
19.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
0
5
L
06.01.26
Fri
Estrela
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
03.01.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
3
3
D
20.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
3
1
W
09.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pri
Estrela
AVS
3
0
W
14.09.25
Pri
Estrela
Guimaraes
0
2
L
25.08.25
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
2
2
D
16.08.25
Pri
Estrela
Benfica
0
1
L
H2H at home: Estrela
26.04.26
H2H
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
26.04.25
H2H
Estrela
FC Porto
2
0
W
15.09.23
H2H
Estrela
FC Porto
0
1
L
Last matches: FC Porto
10.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
AVS
1
3
L
16.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estoril
3
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
SC Braga
2
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Benfica
2
2
D
15.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Nacional
1
0
W
02.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Casa Pia
1
2
L
22.01.26
UEF
FC Porto
Plzen
1
1
D
18.01.26
Pri
FC Porto
Guimaraes
1
0
W
04.01.26
Pri
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
22.12.25
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
3
0
W
07.12.25
Pri
FC Porto
Tondela
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pri
FC Porto
Famalicao
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
FC Porto
Utrecht
1
1
D
27.10.25
Pri
FC Porto
Moreirense
2
1
W
23.10.25
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
0
2
L
29.09.25
Pri
FC Porto
Arouca
4
0
W
25.09.25
UEF
FC Porto
Red Bull Salzburg
1
0
W
19.09.25
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
3
0
W
H2H away: FC Porto
26.04.26
H2H
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
W
26.04.25
H2H
Estrela
FC Porto
2
0
L
15.09.23
H2H
Estrela
FC Porto
0
1
W