ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Referee: P. Tremolada

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.6%
Odds 2.86
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.11
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.6%
2.86
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.11
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.8%
1.29
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Empoli Win 54.6%
Draw 4.7%
Cremonese Win 40.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Empoli0.7
Cremonese1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Empoli Empoli
WWDLW
4 GF / 3 GA
Cremonese Cremonese
WLDWL
7 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.75
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.25
3
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
3
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Empoli Empoli 4 matches
Cremonese Cremonese 4 matches
Empoli Statistic Cremonese
1 Wins 2
3 Draws 2
0 Losses 0
4 Goals For 7
3 Goals Against 1
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.25
3 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 3
0 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 1
3 Shots On Goal 3
8 Total Shots 7
4 Corners 2
41% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Empoli won 3 times, Cremonese won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:9 from Empoli's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Empoli 3-4-2-1 / Cremonese 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Empoli wins 3, draws 4, Cremonese wins 2
Last matches: Empoli
17.08.26
Cop
Empoli
Pisa
1
1
D
08.08.26
Fri
Empoli
Livorno
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Empoli
Spezia
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
08.05.26
Ser
Empoli
Monza
2
2
D
01.05.26
Ser
Empoli
Avellino
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Empoli
Venezia
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Empoli
Padova
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ser
Empoli
Sampdoria
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Pescara
4
2
W
17.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Spezia
1
1
D
14.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Mantova
2
2
D
08.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Catanzaro
2
3
L
04.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Bari
1
2
L
28.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Cesena
1
1
D
20.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Frosinone
2
2
D
15.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Reggiana
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Juve Stabia
1
2
L
07.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Palermo
2
3
L
Last matches: Cremonese
17.08.26
Cop
Cremonese
Sampdoria
2
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Cremonese
Lumezzane
0
0
D
29.07.26
Fri
Cremonese
Cittadella
1
1
D
24.07.26
Fri
Cremonese
Giana Erminio
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Como
1
4
L
17.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Udinese
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Pisa
3
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lazio
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Napoli
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Torino
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Bologna
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Parma
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lecce
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
AC Milan
0
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
AS Roma
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Genoa
0
0
D
09.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Atalanta
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Inter
0
2
L
H2H: Empoli vs Cremonese
14.04.23
H2H
Cremonese
Empoli
1
0
L
11.11.22
H2H
Empoli
Cremonese
2
0
W
13.04.21
H2H
Cremonese
Empoli
2
2
D
15.12.20
H2H
Empoli
Cremonese
1
0
W
03.03.20
H2H
Cremonese
Empoli
2
3
W
03.12.19
H2H
Cremonese
Empoli
1
0
L
20.10.19
H2H
Empoli
Cremonese
1
1
D
07.05.18
H2H
Empoli
Cremonese
1
1
D
16.12.17
H2H
Cremonese
Empoli
1
1
D
Last matches: Empoli
01.08.26
Fri
Empoli
Spezia
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
01.05.26
Ser
Empoli
Avellino
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Empoli
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Pescara
4
2
W
14.03.26
Ser
Empoli
Mantova
2
2
D
28.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Cesena
1
1
D
15.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Reggiana
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Empoli
Juve Stabia
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Empoli
Modena
0
0
D
17.01.26
Ser
Empoli
Sudtirol
0
1
L
27.12.25
Ser
Empoli
Frosinone
1
1
D
07.12.25
Ser
Empoli
Palermo
1
3
L
29.11.25
Ser
Empoli
Bari
5
0
W
08.11.25
Ser
Empoli
Catanzaro
1
0
W
28.10.25
Ser
Empoli
Sampdoria
1
1
D
19.10.25
Ser
Empoli
Venezia
1
1
D
01.10.25
Ser
Empoli
Monza
1
1
D
28.09.25
Ser
Empoli
Carrarese
2
2
D
14.09.25
Ser
Empoli
Spezia
1
1
D
H2H at home: Empoli
11.11.22
H2H
Empoli
Cremonese
2
0
W
15.12.20
H2H
Empoli
Cremonese
1
0
W
20.10.19
H2H
Empoli
Cremonese
1
1
D
07.05.18
H2H
Empoli
Cremonese
1
1
D
Last matches: Cremonese
17.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Udinese
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Napoli
0
4
L
11.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Parma
2
0
W
08.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lecce
1
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
AS Roma
0
3
L
09.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Atalanta
1
2
L
25.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Sassuolo
0
1
L
12.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Juventus
0
5
L
04.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
0
1
L
20.12.25
Ser
Cremonese
Lazio
0
0
D
13.12.25
Ser
Cremonese
Torino
0
1
L
01.12.25
Ser
Cremonese
Bologna
3
1
W
07.11.25
Ser
Cremonese
Pisa
0
1
L
29.10.25
Ser
Cremonese
Genoa
2
0
W
04.10.25
Ser
Cremonese
Inter
1
4
L
27.09.25
Ser
Cremonese
Como
1
1
D
15.09.25
Ser
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Cremonese
AC Milan
2
1
W
H2H away: Cremonese
11.11.22
H2H
Empoli
Cremonese
2
0
L
15.12.20
H2H
Empoli
Cremonese
1
0
L
20.10.19
H2H
Empoli
Cremonese
1
1
D
07.05.18
H2H
Empoli
Cremonese
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.74
Draw 2.94
Home 2.86
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 2.15
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 1.75 1.41
Over 2.0 1.55
Over 2.25 1.84
Over 2.5 2.11
Over 2.75 2.42
Over 3.5 3.64
Under 1.5 3.27
Under 1.75 2.88
Under 2.0 2.45
Under 2.25 1.98
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 2.75 1.56
Under 3.5 1.27
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 3.20
Home 2.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.10
Home 3.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.38
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.08
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 8.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.73
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.61
Draw 3.05
Home 2.77
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.28
Draw 1.95
Home 3.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.83
Draw 2.38
Home 3.02
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.03
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.16
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 1.75 1.36
Over 2.0 1.47
Over 2.25 1.76
Over 2.5 1.99
Over 2.75 2.20
Over 3.0 2.65
Over 3.25 2.94
Over 3.5 3.24
Over 3.75 4.00
Over 4.0 5.50
Over 4.25 5.89
Over 4.5 6.25
Over 5.0 9.80
Over 5.5 12.50
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 7.90
Under 0.75 7.30
Under 1.0 6.75
Under 1.25 4.16
Under 1.5 3.12
Under 1.75 2.83
Under 2.0 2.44
Under 2.25 2.03
Under 2.5 1.79
Under 2.75 1.57
Under 3.0 1.40
Under 3.25 1.31
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 3.75 1.17
Under 4.0 1.08
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.65
Draw 3.10
Home 2.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 1.98
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 2.38
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.0 1.58
Over 2.25 1.85
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 2.75 2.43
Over 3.0 3.05
Over 3.5 3.70
Over 4.5 7.00
Under 1.5 2.85
Under 2.0 2.17
Under 2.25 1.82
Under 2.5 1.62
Under 2.75 1.47
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.5 1.05

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
?
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation