Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
45.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
79.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Emelec
Aucas
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Emelec
22 matches
Aucas
24 matches
| Emelec | Statistic | Aucas |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 19 | Goals For | 25 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.05 | Shots On Goal | 4.36 |
| 10.05 | Total Shots | 12.41 |
| 4.45 | Corners | 5.14 |
| 43.5% | Ball Possession | 50.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Aucas's more proactive style and Emelec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aucas. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Emelec expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Aucas in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aucas having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Aucas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 35 points while Emelec sit 13 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Emelec are currently 13 in the standings with 25 points from 21 matches. The record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 18:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luca Klimowicz (4 goals), Juan Ruiz Gómez (2 goals), Romario Caicedo (2 goals), with creative support from Francisco Pizzini (3 assists), Angelo Mina (2 assists), Luca Klimowicz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 3 place with 35 points from 21 games, Aucas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a 23:21 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), Snayder Porozo (3 goals), with creative support from Andres Mena (2 assists), Piero Guzmán (2 assists), Santiago Morales (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Emelec won 3 times, Aucas won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:19 from Emelec's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Libertad
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Libertad
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 55 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33:19 | 14 | 36 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Aucas
Away
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 21:17 | 4 | 32 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 31 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 28 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 27 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 20:24 | -4 | 26 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 26 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Emelec
Home
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 25 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 13:21 | -8 | 23 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 8:27 | -19 | 14 |
L
D
L
L
D
|