Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Emelec Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aucas Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Emelec0.85
Aucas1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Emelec
WWDLW
14 GF / 17 GA
Aucas
WLDWL
21 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
6
BTTS Yes
7
2
Over 2.5
6
2.94
Shots on Goal
5.06
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Emelec
17 matches
Aucas
19 matches
| Emelec | Statistic | Aucas |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 14 | Goals For | 21 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.94 | Shots On Goal | 5.06 |
| 10.24 | Total Shots | 14.5 |
| 4.47 | Corners | 5.88 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 58.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Emelec won 3 times, Aucas won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:19 from Emelec's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Emelec 4-4-2 / Aucas 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Emelec wins 3, draws 6, Aucas wins 6
Last matches: Emelec
05.07.26
Lig
Emelec
Delfin SC
1
1
D
31.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Macara
2
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Manta FC
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Libertad
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Leones del Norte
0
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Emelec
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
L
09.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
05.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
0
2
L
20.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Orense SC
2
1
W
07.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
01.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Delfin SC
1
1
D
Last matches: Aucas
08.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
26.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Manta FC
3
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
24.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
H2H: Emelec vs Aucas
12.04.26
H2H
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
L
23.11.25
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
L
19.10.25
H2H
Aucas
Emelec
0
0
D
31.08.25
H2H
Aucas
Emelec
1
2
W
11.05.25
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
1
L
06.10.24
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
0
D
19.04.24
H2H
Aucas
Emelec
3
1
L
02.09.23
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
0
D
09.04.23
H2H
Aucas
Emelec
2
1
L
11.09.22
H2H
Aucas
Emelec
1
1
D
27.07.22
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
L
24.04.22
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
1
0
W
02.08.21
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
2
2
D
28.02.21
H2H
Aucas
Emelec
2
3
W
01.11.20
H2H
Aucas
Emelec
1
1
D
Last matches: Emelec
31.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
24.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Macara
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Emelec
Libertad
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
Emelec
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
1
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
0
2
L
20.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Orense SC
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Emelec
Delfin SC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Emelec
23.11.25
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
L
11.05.25
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
1
L
06.10.24
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
0
D
02.09.23
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
0
D
27.07.22
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
L
24.04.22
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
1
0
W
02.08.21
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
2
2
D
Last matches: Aucas
31.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
23.04.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
H2H away: Aucas
23.11.25
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
W
11.05.25
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
1
W
06.10.24
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
0
D
02.09.23
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
0
D
27.07.22
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
0
2
W
24.04.22
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
1
0
L
02.08.21
H2H
Emelec
Aucas
2
2
D
Standings
Liga Pro
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Aucas
Away
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19:14 | 5 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 23 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Emelec
Home
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 20 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 19 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9:16 | -7 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | -16 | 12 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs