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WORLD › WORLD CUP
25.06.2026 20:00
MetLife Stadium
Referee: Tori Penso, USA
Ecuador
Match Timeline
Germany
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
L. Sane · Assist: F. Wirtz
Germany
⚽
9'
N. Angulo · Assist: P. Vite
Ecuador
🟨
43'
Piero Hincapié
Ecuador
🟨
44'
Aleksandar Pavlović
Germany
🔄
46'
A. Pavlovic ↔ A. Stiller
Germany
⚽
47'
Germany
Germany
🟨
50'
Alan Franco
Ecuador
🔄
60'
J. Kimmich ↔ M. Thiaw
Germany
🔄
60'
K. Havertz ↔ D. Undav
Germany
🔄
64'
A. Franco ↔ A. Preciado
Ecuador
🔄
64'
E. Valencia ↔ K. Rodriguez
Ecuador
🔄
64'
F. Nmecha ↔ M. Beier
Germany
🔄
71'
P. Hincapie ↔ P. Estupinan
Ecuador
🔄
73'
F. Wirtz ↔ P. Gross
Germany
⚽
77'
G. Plata · Assist: K. Rodriguez
Ecuador
🔄
85'
N. Angulo ↔ J. Caicedo
Ecuador
🔄
85'
J. Yeboah ↔ F. Torres
Ecuador
🟨
89'
Gonzalo Plata
Ecuador

Ecuador vs Germany Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ecuador Win 37.3%
Draw 8.7%
Germany Win 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ecuador1.17
Germany2.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ecuador Ecuador
WWDLW
7 GF / 4 GA
Germany Germany
WLDWL
21 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
3.5
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
6
5.5
Shots on Goal
8.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ecuador Ecuador 6 matches
Germany Germany 6 matches
Ecuador Statistic Germany
2 Wins 6
3 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
7 Goals For 21
4 Goals Against 7
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 3.5
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
3 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 6
2 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
5.5 Shots On Goal 8.33
15.5 Total Shots 20.17
5.5 Corners 7.83
58.8% Ball Possession 60.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ecuador won 1 times, Germany won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Ecuador's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Ecuador 3-4-2-1 / Germany 4-4-2
H2H summary: Ecuador wins 1, draws 0, Germany wins 0

Standings

Group E
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 0 1 10:4 6 6
L L W W
2 3 2 0 1 4:2 2 6
L W L W
3 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
L W D L
4 3 0 1 2 1:9 -8 1
L D L
Round of 32