Ecuador
Match Timeline
Germany
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
1 agree /
0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
54%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Ecuador Win 37.3%
Draw 8.7%
Germany Win 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ecuador1.17
Germany2.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ecuador
WWDLW
7 GF / 4 GA
Germany
WLDWL
21 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
3.5
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
6
5.5
Shots on Goal
8.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ecuador
6 matches
Germany
6 matches
| Ecuador | Statistic | Germany |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 0 |
| 7 | Goals For | 21 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.5 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 8.33 |
| 15.5 | Total Shots | 20.17 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 7.83 |
| 58.8% | Ball Possession | 60.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ecuador won 1 times, Germany won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Ecuador's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Ecuador 3-4-2-1 / Germany 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ecuador wins 1, draws 0, Germany wins 0
Stats
Ecuador
Germany
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
2
2
Blocked Shots
5
5
Lineups
Germany
Formation
Ecuador
M. Neuer
J. Kimmich
J. Tah
A. Rudiger
L. Sane
F. Nmecha
A. Pavlovic
D. Raum
J. Musiala
F. Wirtz
K. Havertz
H. Galindez
A. Franco
J. Ordonez
W. Pacho
P. Hincapie
J. Yeboah
M. Caicedo
P. Vite
N. Angulo
G. Plata
E. Valencia
Germany
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
M. Neuer
G
6
J. Kimmich
D
↓ 60'
4
J. Tah
D
2
A. Rudiger
D
19
L. Sane
M
⚽ 2'
23
F. Nmecha
M
↓ 64'
5
A. Pavlovic
M
↓ 46'
🟨 44'
22
D. Raum
M
10
J. Musiala
F
17
F. Wirtz
F
🎯 2'
↓ 73'
7
K. Havertz
F
↓ 60'
Substitutes
12
O. Baumann
G
21
A. Nubel
G
13
P. Gross
M
↑ 73'
8
L. Goretzka
M
20
N. Amiri
M
14
M. Beier
F
↑ 64'
24
M. Thiaw
D
↑ 60'
11
N. Woltemade
F
9
J. Leweling
F
3
W. Anton
D
26
D. Undav
F
↑ 60'
16
A. Stiller
M
↑ 46'
25
A. Ouedraogo
M
Ecuador
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
H. Galindez
G
21
A. Franco
D
↓ 64'
🟨 50'
4
J. Ordonez
D
6
W. Pacho
D
3
P. Hincapie
D
↓ 71'
🟨 43'
9
J. Yeboah
M
↓ 85'
23
M. Caicedo
M
15
P. Vite
M
🎯 9'
20
N. Angulo
M
⚽ 9'
↓ 85'
19
G. Plata
F
⚽ 77'
🟨 89'
13
E. Valencia
F
↓ 64'
Substitutes
22
G. Valle
G
12
M. Ramirez
G
7
P. Estupinan
D
↑ 71'
16
J. Caicedo
F
↑ 85'
17
A. Preciado
D
↑ 64'
8
A. Valencia
F
11
K. Rodriguez
F
🎯 77'
↑ 64'
2
F. Torres
D
↑ 85'
25
J. Porozo
D
5
J. Alcivar
M
14
A. Minda
F
18
D. Castillo
M
26
Y. Medina
D
24
J. Arevalo
F
10
K. Paez
M
Last matches: Ecuador
01.07.26
Wor
Ecuador
Mexico
0
2
L
21.06.26
Wor
Ecuador
Curaçao
0
0
D
14.06.26
Wor
Ecuador
Ivory Coast
0
1
L
07.06.26
Fri
Ecuador
Guatemala
3
0
W
31.05.26
Fri
Ecuador
Saudi Arabia
2
1
W
31.03.26
Fri
Ecuador
Netherlands
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Ecuador
Morocco
1
1
D
Last matches: Germany
29.06.26
Wor
Germany
Paraguay
1
1
D
20.06.26
Wor
Germany
Ivory Coast
2
1
W
14.06.26
Wor
Germany
Curaçao
7
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
Germany
USA
2
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Germany
Finland
4
0
W
30.03.26
Fri
Germany
Ghana
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Germany
Switzerland
4
3
W
17.11.25
Wor
Germany
Slovakia
6
0
W
14.11.25
Wor
Germany
Luxembourg
2
0
W
13.10.25
Wor
Germany
Northern Ireland
1
0
W
10.10.25
Wor
Germany
Luxembourg
4
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Germany
Northern Ireland
3
1
W
04.09.25
Wor
Germany
Slovakia
0
2
L
08.06.25
UEF
Germany
France
0
2
L
04.06.25
UEF
Germany
Portugal
1
2
L
23.03.25
UEF
Germany
Italy
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Germany
Italy
2
1
W
19.11.24
UEF
Germany
Hungary
1
1
D
16.11.24
UEF
Germany
Bosnia & Herzegovina
7
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Germany
Netherlands
1
0
W
H2H: Ecuador vs Germany
25.06.26
H2H
Ecuador
Germany
2
1
W
Last matches: Ecuador
21.06.26
Wor
Ecuador
Curaçao
0
0
D
07.06.26
Fri
Ecuador
Guatemala
3
0
W
31.05.26
Fri
Ecuador
Saudi Arabia
2
1
W
H2H at home: Ecuador
25.06.26
H2H
Ecuador
Germany
2
1
W
Last matches: Germany
06.06.26
Fri
Germany
USA
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Germany
Switzerland
4
3
W
14.11.25
Wor
Germany
Luxembourg
2
0
W
13.10.25
Wor
Germany
Northern Ireland
1
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Germany
Slovakia
0
2
L
20.03.25
UEF
Germany
Italy
2
1
W
19.11.24
UEF
Germany
Hungary
1
1
D
11.10.24
UEF
Germany
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
1
W
10.09.24
UEF
Germany
Netherlands
2
2
D
H2H away: Germany
25.06.26
H2H
Ecuador
Germany
2
1
L