SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Tannadice Park
Referee: M. MacDermid
Dundee Utd
Match Timeline
Dundee
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
W. Ferry
Dundee Utd
🟨
34'
Ryan Strain
Dundee Utd
VAR
37'
Joe Westley
Dundee
🔄
69'
M. Watters ↔ I. Dolcek
Dundee Utd
🔄
69'
S. Wright ↔ S. Murray
Dundee
🔄
69'
C. Congreve ↔ C. Reilly
Dundee
70'
W. Ferry · Assist: V. Sevelj
Dundee Utd
72'
R. Strain · Assist: W. Ferry
Dundee Utd
🔄
79'
A. Hay ↔ T. Yogane
Dundee
🔄
83'
W. Ferry ↔ J. Russell
Dundee Utd
🔄
83'
E. Agyei ↔ P. Camara
Dundee Utd
🔄
84'
R. Strain ↔ D. Naamo
Dundee Utd

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
83.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Dundee Utd Win 65%
Draw 5.6%
Dundee Win 29.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dundee Utd1.47
Dundee1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd
WWDLW
51 GF / 58 GA
Dundee Dundee
WLDWL
34 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
22
BTTS Yes
16
19
Over 2.5
18
4.32
Shots on Goal
3.12

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 matches
Dundee Dundee 33 matches
Dundee Utd Statistic Dundee
11 Wins 8
15 Draws 9
11 Losses 16
51 Goals For 34
58 Goals Against 53
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
22 BTTS Yes 16
32 Over 1.5 23
19 Over 2.5 18
15 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 5
10 Failed To Score 14
4.32 Shots On Goal 3.12
12.49 Total Shots 9.91
4.27 Corners 3.73
38.6% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dundee. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dundee Utd expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Dundee in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundee having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Dundee Utd Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 40 points from 33 games, Dundee Utd bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 13 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 45:54, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Fatah (8 goals), Zachary Sapsford (8 goals), I. Dolcek (5 goals), with creative support from L. Stephenson (5 assists), W. Ferry (5 assists), A. Fatah (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dundee Analysis

Dundee arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 33 points after 33 matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 34:53 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Fatah (8 goals), Zachary Sapsford (8 goals), Simon Murray (7 goals), with creative support from C. Congreve (7 assists), L. Stephenson (5 assists), W. Ferry (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Dundee Utd won 6 times, Dundee won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:16 from Dundee Utd's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Dundee Utd 3-4-2-1 / Dundee 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Dundee Utd wins 6, draws 5, Dundee wins 3
Stats
Dundee Utd Dundee Utd
Dundee Dundee
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 4
22 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 0
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 1
8 Blocked Shots 5
11 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
256 Total passes 278
162 Passes accurate 176
2.18 expected_goals 0.85
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Dundee Utd
Formation
Dundee
D. Richards
D. Richards
I. Iovu
I. Iovu
R. Graham
R. Graham
K. Keresztes
K. Keresztes
R. Strain
R. Strain
V. Sevelj
🎯
V. Sevelj
E. Agyei
E. Agyei
W. Ferry
⚽ 2 🎯
W. Ferry
N. Farrugia
N. Farrugia
Z. Sapsford
Z. Sapsford
M. Watters
M. Watters
J. McCracken
J. McCracken
R. Astley
R. Astley
L. Graham
L. Graham
B. Koumetio
B. Koumetio
I. Samuels
I. Samuels
E. Hamilton
E. Hamilton
C. Congreve
C. Congreve
Y. Dhanda
Y. Dhanda
J. Westley
J. Westley
S. Wright
S. Wright
A. Hay
A. Hay
Dundee Utd 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
25
D. Richards
G
4
I. Iovu
D
6
R. Graham
D
23
K. Keresztes
D
2
R. Strain
⚽ 72' ↓ 84' 🟨 34'
M
5
V. Sevelj
🎯 70'
M
12
E. Agyei
↓ 83'
M
11
W. Ferry
⚽ 14' ⚽ 70' 🎯 72' ↓ 83'
M
20
N. Farrugia
F
9
Z. Sapsford
F
36
M. Watters
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
31
R. Adams
G
77
J. Russell
↑ 83'
F
14
C. Sibbald
M
8
P. Camara
↑ 83'
M
3
B. Esselink
D
10
J. Eskesen
M
19
I. Dolcek
↑ 69'
F
22
D. Naamo
↑ 84'
D
37
S. Cleall-Harding
D
Dundee 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
J. McCracken
G
4
R. Astley
D
22
L. Graham
D
5
B. Koumetio
D
12
I. Samuels
D
48
E. Hamilton
M
20
C. Congreve
↓ 69'
M
21
Y. Dhanda
M
19
J. Westley
M
25
S. Wright
↓ 69'
M
11
A. Hay
↓ 79'
Substitutes
13
K. O'Hara
G
15
S. Murray
↑ 69'
F
24
J. Cotterill
M
28
C. Jones
M
7
D. Wright
M
16
B. Halliday
D
18
C. Reilly
↑ 69'
F
10
F. Robertson
17
T. Yogane
↑ 79'
M
Last matches: Dundee Utd
17.05.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
0
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
3
2
W
04.04.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Rangers
2
4
L
22.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Celtic
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
2
D
03.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
0
2
L
24.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Falkirk
3
2
W
04.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
10.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Celtic
0
4
L
03.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
0
1
L
30.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
3
1
W
27.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
1
1
D
Last matches: Dundee
17.05.26
Pre
Dundee
Aberdeen
3
2
W
12.05.26
Pre
Dundee
Kilmarnock
1
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Dundee
Livingston
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Dundee
ST Mirren
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Dundee
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pre
Dundee
Celtic
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Dundee
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Dundee
Dundee Utd
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pre
Dundee
Motherwell
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Dundee
Hibernian
3
3
D
21.02.26
Pre
Dundee
Aberdeen
3
2
W
14.02.26
Pre
Dundee
Livingston
2
2
D
11.02.26
Pre
Dundee
Falkirk
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Dundee
ST Mirren
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pre
Dundee
Rangers
0
3
L
11.01.26
Pre
Dundee
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pre
Dundee
Dundee Utd
1
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Dundee
Kilmarnock
2
1
W
27.12.25
Pre
Dundee
Falkirk
1
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Dundee
Motherwell
0
1
L
H2H: Dundee Utd vs Dundee
26.04.26
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
3
0
W
15.03.26
H2H
Dundee
Dundee Utd
2
2
D
03.01.26
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
0
1
L
31.08.25
H2H
Dundee
Dundee Utd
0
2
W
16.03.25
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
4
L
20.01.25
H2H
Dundee
Dundee Utd
1
0
L
02.01.25
H2H
Dundee
Dundee Utd
1
2
W
04.08.24
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
2
D
09.04.22
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
2
D
01.02.22
H2H
Dundee
Dundee Utd
0
0
D
19.09.21
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
1
0
W
24.04.20
H2H
Dundee
Dundee Utd
0
0
D
27.12.19
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
1
1
D
08.11.19
H2H
Dundee
Dundee Utd
0
2
W
30.08.19
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
6
2
W
Last matches: Dundee Utd
12.05.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
3
2
W
22.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Celtic
2
0
W
03.03.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
2
1
W
24.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
03.01.26
Pre
Dundee Utd
Dundee
0
1
L
20.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Hibernian
1
1
D
17.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Celtic
2
1
W
13.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
0
0
D
03.12.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Rangers
2
2
D
22.11.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Falkirk
0
3
L
25.10.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
3
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Livingston
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock
0
2
L
23.09.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
2
0
W
14.08.25
UEF
Dundee Utd
Rapid Vienna
2
2
D
10.08.25
Pre
Dundee Utd
Heart Of Midlothian
2
3
L
24.07.25
UEF
Dundee Utd
UNA Strassen
1
0
W
H2H at home: Dundee Utd
26.04.26
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
3
0
W
03.01.26
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
0
1
L
16.03.25
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
4
L
04.08.24
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
2
D
09.04.22
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
2
D
19.09.21
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
1
0
W
27.12.19
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
1
1
D
30.08.19
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
6
2
W
Last matches: Dundee
12.05.26
Pre
Dundee
Kilmarnock
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Dundee
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Dundee
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Dundee
Aberdeen
3
2
W
11.02.26
Pre
Dundee
Falkirk
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Dundee
ST Mirren
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pre
Dundee
Rangers
0
3
L
03.01.26
Pre
Dundee
Dundee Utd
1
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Dundee
Motherwell
0
1
L
13.12.25
Pre
Dundee
Livingston
2
2
D
03.12.25
Pre
Dundee
Celtic
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Dundee
Hibernian
0
2
L
01.11.25
Pre
Dundee
Heart Of Midlothian
0
4
L
25.10.25
Pre
Dundee
Falkirk
1
2
L
05.10.25
Pre
Dundee
Aberdeen
0
4
L
27.09.25
Pre
Dundee
ST Mirren
0
1
L
23.08.25
Pre
Dundee
Kilmarnock
0
0
D
09.08.25
Pre
Dundee
Rangers
1
1
D
H2H away: Dundee
26.04.26
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
3
0
L
03.01.26
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
0
1
W
16.03.25
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
4
W
04.08.24
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
2
D
09.04.22
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
2
2
D
19.09.21
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
1
0
L
27.12.19
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
1
1
D
30.08.19
H2H
Dundee Utd
Dundee
6
2
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 4 8 73:41 32 82
W W W W W
1 38 10 15 13 49:60 -11 45
D D L L W
2 38 24 8 6 67:34 33 80
L W D W W
2 38 11 9 18 42:61 -19 42
W L W W L
3 38 20 12 6 76:43 33 72
W L L L L
3 38 11 7 20 40:55 -15 40
L L W D W
4 38 16 13 9 59:36 23 61
W L D L W
4 38 10 10 18 50:68 -18 40
W W W W L
5 38 15 12 11 58:44 14 57
L W W L L
5 38 8 10 20 30:55 -25 34
W D D W L
6 38 14 7 17 50:62 -12 49
L L L W L
6 38 2 15 21 40:75 -35 21
L D L D W