11.08.2026 19:00
Groupama Stadium
Referee: Szymon Marciniak, Poland
Lyon
Match Timeline
Sparta Praha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
E. Nuamah
Lyon
🟥
34'
Adam Ševinský
Sparta Praha
🔄
37'
A. Irving ↔ J. Zeleny
Sparta Praha
🟨
54'
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Lyon
🔄
63'
R. Macek ↔ S. Eneme
Sparta Praha
🔄
63'
J. Brunes ↔ E. Singhateh
Sparta Praha
66'
A. Maitland-Niles · Assist: C. Tolisso
Lyon
72'
T. Morton
Lyon
🔄
73'
A. Karabec ↔ H. Sochurek
Sparta Praha
🔄
74'
J. Mercado ↔ V. Vitalyos
Sparta Praha
🔄
76'
A. Maitland-Niles ↔ C. Mata
Lyon
🔄
76'
E. Nuamah ↔ K. Boudache
Lyon
🔄
85'
M. Fofana ↔ J. Duranville
Lyon
🔄
85'
Abner Vinicius ↔ M. Ouedraogo
Lyon
🔄
88'
C. Tolisso ↔ N. Nartey
Lyon
🟨
89'
Matěj Ryneš
Sparta Praha

Lyon vs Sparta Praha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.4%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lyon Win 82.4%
Draw 5.2%
Sparta Praha Win 12.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lyon2.03
Sparta Praha1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lyon Lyon
WWDLW
16 GF / 14 GA
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
WLDWL
20 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
1.82
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
4
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
8
4
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lyon Lyon 7 matches
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 11 matches
Lyon Statistic Sparta Praha
4 Wins 5
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 5
16 Goals For 20
14 Goals Against 18
2.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
4 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 3.25
11 Total Shots 12
9 Corners 6.75
48% Ball Possession 62.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Lyon won 3 times, Sparta Praha won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:5 from Lyon's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Lyon 4-2-3-1 / Sparta Praha 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lyon wins 3, draws 0, Sparta Praha wins 1

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 6:1 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 1:6 -5 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)