JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
12.09.2026 09:30
IAI Stadium Nihondaira
Shimizu S-pulse
Live Timeline
Avispa Fukuoka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
8'
Werik Popo ↔ Shintaro Nago
Avispa Fukuoka
🟨
26'
Daiki Miya
Avispa Fukuoka
🔄
30'
Daiki Fukazawa ↔ Takumi Kamijima
Avispa Fukuoka
🟨
34'
Kenta Inoue
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
67'
Kenta Inoue ↔ Tomoya Fujii
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
67'
Kazuki Kozuka ↔ Won Du-jae
Shimizu S-pulse

Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.22
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.7%
1.40
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.22
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.35
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Shimizu S-pulse Win 28.3%
Draw 19.2%
Avispa Fukuoka Win 52.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shimizu S-pulse0.97
Avispa Fukuoka1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
WWDLW
3 GF / 7 GA
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
WLDWL
9 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
2
BTTS Yes
4
1
Over 2.5
4
3.33
Shots on Goal
6.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 6 matches
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 6 matches
Shimizu S-pulse Statistic Avispa Fukuoka
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 4
3 Goals For 9
7 Goals Against 10
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
2 BTTS Yes 4
2 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
3.33 Shots On Goal 6.17
10.5 Total Shots 15.83
5.33 Corners 5.17
38.8% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Avispa Fukuoka. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shimizu S-pulse expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Avispa Fukuoka in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avispa Fukuoka having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Shimizu S-pulse Analysis

Shimizu S-pulse approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 4 points from 5 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 2:4, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Koya Kitagawa (1 goals), K. Kinoshita (1 goals), with creative support from T. Fujii (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Avispa Fukuoka Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 3 points from 5 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 8:9, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through S. Morooka (2 goals), Y. Tsujioka (1 goals), Werik Popó (1 goals), with creative support from S. Morooka (1 assists), D. Fukazawa (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Shimizu S-pulse won 4 times, Avispa Fukuoka won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Shimizu S-pulse's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.78 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.8%)
Predicted formations: Shimizu S-pulse 4-3-3 / Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Shimizu S-pulse wins 4, draws 4, Avispa Fukuoka wins 1

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 18:5 13 16
W W D W W
2 7 5 1 1 11:5 6 16
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
4 7 4 0 3 14:13 1 12
L L L W W
5 6 3 2 1 13:5 8 11
L W D D W
6 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W D W W D
7 6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
W W L D W
9 6 3 1 2 5:5 0 10
D W L W L
10 6 2 3 1 12:9 3 9
W L W D D
11 6 2 3 1 11:8 3 9
D W D W D
12 6 3 0 3 12:15 -3 9
W W W L L
13 6 1 3 2 8:11 -3 6
L D D L D
14 6 2 0 4 7:11 -4 6
L L W W L
15 7 1 2 4 9:14 -5 5
L L D W L
16 6 1 1 4 9:10 -1 4
D L L L W
17 6 1 1 4 3:7 -4 4
L D L L L
18 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D L L L
19 6 0 3 3 2:8 -6 3
D L L D L
20 6 1 0 5 5:15 -10 3
W L L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League