Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
5.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
12.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Dundalk
Bohemians
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Dundalk
17 matches
Bohemians
21 matches
| Dundalk | Statistic | Bohemians |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 32 | Goals For | 31 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 6.4 | Shots On Goal | 5.4 |
| 17.13 | Total Shots | 14.8 |
| 6.73 | Corners | 5.73 |
| 51.7% | Ball Possession | 58.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bohemians. Bohemians arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Dundalk arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 22 points after 15 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 26:23 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Horgan (5 goals), G. Arubi (4 goals), Declan McDaid (3 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (4 assists), G. Arubi (2 assists), E. Kenny (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Bohemians approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 22 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats with a 18:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Whelan (6 goals), M. Strods (2 goals), Patrick Hickey (2 goals), with creative support from C. Whelan (2 assists), M. Strods (2 assists), R. Tierney (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dundalk won 6 times, Bohemians won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:20 from Dundalk's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Dundalk
4
5
3
2
0
1
Lineups
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Galway United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Bohemians
Away
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Home
|
24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|