Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
86.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
13.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
18.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Drogheda United
Waterford
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Drogheda United
21 matches
Waterford
25 matches
| Drogheda United | Statistic | Waterford |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 27 | Goals For | 31 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.33 |
| 9.61 | Total Shots | 11.61 |
| 4 | Corners | 4.94 |
| 39.3% | Ball Possession | 40% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Waterford. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Drogheda United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Drogheda United expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Waterford in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Waterford having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Drogheda United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 19 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats with a 21:28 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Doyle (7 goals), Conor Keeley (3 goals), W. Davis (3 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (2 assists), K. Cruise (2 assists), Conor Keeley (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Waterford are currently 10 in the standings with 10 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, while the 17:35 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Lonergan (7 goals), John Mahon (3 goals), P. Amond (3 goals), with creative support from J. Voilas (2 assists), Evan McLaughlin (2 assists), T. Lonergan (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Drogheda United won 5 times, Waterford won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Drogheda United's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Drogheda United
4
5
6
7
3
5
Lineups
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Galway United
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
UCD
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Wexford
Waterford
Cork City
Waterford
Cobh Ramblers
Waterford
Bray Wanderers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Drogheda United
Home
|
24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
| 9 |
Waterford
Away
|
24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|