CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Maksimir
Referee: P. Pavlesic
Dinamo Zagreb
Match Timeline
HNK Rijeka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
D. Beljo · Assist: M. Bakrar
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
16'
A. Husic ↔ B. Pavic
HNK Rijeka
🔄
23'
G. Vidovic ↔ A. Hoxha
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
46'
S. McKenna ↔ M. Valincic
Dinamo Zagreb
🟨
50'
Tiago Dantas
HNK Rijeka
51'
T. Dantas
HNK Rijeka
🟨
57'
Ante Oreč
HNK Rijeka
🔄
60'
M. Ndockyt ↔ D. Cop
HNK Rijeka
🟨
64'
Moris Valinčić
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
71'
M. Zajc ↔ M. Soldo
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
71'
M. Bakrar ↔ M. Lisica
Dinamo Zagreb
71'
T. Dantas
HNK Rijeka
VAR
74'
Dion Drena Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
76'
B. Goda ↔ M. Perez Vinlof
Dinamo Zagreb
VAR
84'
Arber Hoxha
Dinamo Zagreb
🟨
84'
Ante Oreč
HNK Rijeka
🟥
84'
Ante Oreč
HNK Rijeka
🟨
85'
Stjepan Radeljić
HNK Rijeka
86'
D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb
🔄
88'
D. Adu Adjei ↔ N. Bodetic
HNK Rijeka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
52.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Zagreb Win 76.2%
Draw 4%
HNK Rijeka Win 19.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Zagreb1.91
HNK Rijeka1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
WWDLW
95 GF / 45 GA
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
WLDWL
56 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
2.44
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
22
BTTS Yes
20
29
Over 2.5
19
5.79
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 39 matches
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 45 matches
Dinamo Zagreb Statistic HNK Rijeka
25 Wins 17
5 Draws 13
9 Losses 15
95 Goals For 56
45 Goals Against 50
2.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
22 BTTS Yes 20
37 Over 1.5 30
29 Over 2.5 19
20 Over 3.5 13
13 Clean Sheets 16
5 Failed To Score 15
5.79 Shots On Goal 3.67
15.54 Total Shots 12.16
6.1 Corners 4.64
55.7% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward HNK Rijeka. Dinamo Zagreb come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Dinamo Zagreb arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 69 points compared to HNK Rijeka in 4 on 41, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dinamo Zagreb expected to line up in 4-3-3 and HNK Rijeka in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HNK Rijeka having the stronger overall control.

Dinamo Zagreb Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 69 points after 29 outings. They have recorded 22 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a -:- goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on D. Beljo (25 goals), M. Bakrar (8 goals), M. Zajc (8 goals), with creative support from L. Stojkovic (11 assists), M. Zajc (6 assists), M. Lisica (6 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a balanced approach.

HNK Rijeka Analysis

With 41 points from 29 games and a place of 4, HNK Rijeka still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, and the -:- goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Fruk (11 goals), Tiago Dantas (5 goals), Ante Matej Jurić (4 goals), with creative support from Tiago Dantas (6 assists), A. Orec (4 assists), T. Fruk (3 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Zagreb won 8 times, HNK Rijeka won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Dinamo Zagreb's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3 / HNK Rijeka 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Dinamo Zagreb wins 8, draws 6, HNK Rijeka wins 1
Stats
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 7
16 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
355 Total passes 282
309 Passes accurate 231
1.69 expected_goals 1.87
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Dinamo Zagreb
Formation
HNK Rijeka
D. Livakovic
D. Livakovic
N. Galesic
N. Galesic
S. Dominguez
S. Dominguez
S. McKenna
S. McKenna
B. Goda
B. Goda
L. Stojkovic
L. Stojkovic
J. Misic
J. Misic
M. Zajc
M. Zajc
M. Bakrar
🎯
M. Bakrar
D. Beljo
⚽ 2
D. Beljo
G. Vidovic
G. Vidovic
M. Zlomislic
M. Zlomislic
A. Orec
A. Orec
A. Majstorovic
A. Majstorovic
S. Radeljic
S. Radeljic
D. Legbo
D. Legbo
T. Dantas
⚽ 2
T. Dantas
A. Husic
A. Husic
M. Ndockyt
M. Ndockyt
A. Gojak
A. Gojak
J. Lasickas
J. Lasickas
D. Adu Adjei
D. Adu Adjei
Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3
Starting XI
40
D. Livakovic
G
15
N. Galesic
D
36
S. Dominguez
D
26
S. McKenna
↓ 46'
D
3
B. Goda
↓ 76'
D
7
L. Stojkovic
M
27
J. Misic
M
8
M. Zajc
↓ 71'
M
71
M. Bakrar
🎯 5' ↓ 71'
F
9
D. Beljo
⚽ 5' ⚽ 86'
F
10
G. Vidovic
↓ 23'
F
Substitutes
44
I. Filipovic
G
33
I. Nevistic
G
11
A. Hoxha
↑ 23'
F
14
M. Soldo
↑ 71'
M
21
M. Lisica
↑ 71'
F
25
M. Valincic
↑ 46' 🟨 64'
D
70
J. Cordoba
F
41
S. Sunta
M
42
M. Zebic
D
13
P. Tabinas
D
22
M. Perez Vinlof
↑ 76'
D
30
F. Topic
F
HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
M. Zlomislic
G
22
A. Orec
🟨 57' 🟨 84' 🟥 84'
D
45
A. Majstorovic
D
6
S. Radeljic
🟨 85'
D
24
D. Legbo
D
26
T. Dantas
⚽ 51' ⚽ 71' 🟨 50'
M
51
A. Husic
↓ 16'
M
20
M. Ndockyt
↓ 60'
M
14
A. Gojak
M
23
J. Lasickas
M
18
D. Adu Adjei
↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
99
A. Todorovic
G
7
T. Morchiladze
M
66
B. Pavic
↑ 16'
9
D. Cop
↑ 60'
F
8
D. Petrovic
M
11
G. Rukavina
F
77
A. Juric
F
91
N. Bodetic
↑ 88'
D
2
L. Kitin
D
79
A. Samateh
F
Last matches: Dinamo Zagreb
23.05.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
17.05.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
4
1
W
09.05.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
2
0
W
02.05.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
2
1
W
26.04.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Varazdin
2
1
W
22.04.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
2
0
W
13.04.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
Vukovar
4
1
W
04.04.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Osijek
7
0
W
21.03.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
5
0
W
14.03.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
4
2
W
08.03.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
3
1
W
01.03.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
4
2
W
26.02.26
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
Genk
3
3
D
22.02.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Varazdin
4
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
Genk
1
3
L
14.02.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
4
0
W
08.02.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
02.02.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
Vukovar
3
1
W
29.01.26
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
FC Midtjylland
0
2
L
25.01.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Osijek
3
0
W
Last matches: HNK Rijeka
23.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
17.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
0
D
08.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
3
0
W
03.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3
0
W
26.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
0
D
22.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
12.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
2
L
04.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
22.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
1
D
15.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
2
L
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
1
0
W
01.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
3
1
W
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
14.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
08.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
01.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
1
L
H2H: Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka
13.05.26
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
18.04.26
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
2
D
08.02.26
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
01.11.25
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
1
W
16.08.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
W
27.04.25
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
22.02.25
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
4
0
L
23.11.24
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
01.09.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
1
1
D
22.05.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
1
3
W
15.05.24
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
05.05.24
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
W
25.02.24
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
12.11.23
H2H
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2
2
D
27.08.23
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
1
W
Last matches: Dinamo Zagreb
23.05.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
09.05.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
2
0
W
26.04.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Varazdin
2
1
W
04.04.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Osijek
7
0
W
14.03.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
4
2
W
01.03.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Gorica
4
2
W
19.02.26
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
Genk
1
3
L
14.02.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
4
0
W
02.02.26
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
Vukovar
3
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
FCSB
4
1
W
15.01.26
Fri
Dinamo Zagreb
TSV Hartberg
1
2
L
20.12.25
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
Real Betis
1
3
L
06.12.25
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
22.11.25
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Varazdin
3
1
W
06.11.25
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
Celta Vigo
0
3
L
01.11.25
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
1
W
18.10.25
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Osijek
2
1
W
28.09.25
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
4
1
W
24.09.25
UEF
Dinamo Zagreb
Fenerbahçe
3
1
W
H2H at home: Dinamo Zagreb
13.05.26
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
0
W
18.04.26
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
2
D
01.11.25
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
1
W
27.04.25
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
23.11.24
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
15.05.24
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
25.02.24
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
27.08.23
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
1
W
Last matches: HNK Rijeka
17.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0
0
D
03.05.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3
0
W
22.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
04.04.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
2
0
W
22.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Strasbourg
1
1
D
08.03.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
1
0
W
22.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
01.02.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Osijek
0
1
L
20.01.26
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
2
1
W
18.12.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
30.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
09.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0
1
L
06.11.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
Lincoln Red Imps FC
1
1
D
01.11.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
18.10.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
NK Slaven Belupo
1
1
D
05.10.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
3
1
W
02.10.25
UEF
HNK Rijeka
FC Noah
0
1
L
22.09.25
HNL
HNK Rijeka
Vukovar
2
3
L
H2H away: HNK Rijeka
13.05.26
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
0
L
18.04.26
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
2
D
01.11.25
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
1
L
27.04.25
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
0
L
23.11.24
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
15.05.24
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
25.02.24
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
0
L
27.08.23
H2H
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D