GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Referee: A. Aptsiauri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Match Timeline
Samgurali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
Wellissol · Assist: T. Berelidze
Samgurali
11'
R. Ramos · Assist: M. Vatsadze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
14'
Wellissol
Samgurali
15'
A. Kalandadze · Assist: N. Ninua
Dinamo Tbilisi
37'
Wellissol · Assist: L. Gegetchkori
Samgurali
48'
Leo Santos · Assist: S. Kharebashvili
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
59'
G. Kharaishvili ↔ K. Doltmurziev
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
65'
R. Ramos ↔ I. Siradze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
65'
M. Vatsadze ↔ D. Kvartskhava
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
65'
L. Gegetchkori ↔ L. Kvaratskhelia
Samgurali
🔄
65'
N. Tsetskhladze ↔ G. Gogia
Samgurali
66'
K. Doltmurziev · Assist: B. Osei
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
69'
T. Berelidze ↔ L. Papava
Samgurali
🟨
73'
L. Kvaratskhelia
Samgurali
🔄
77'
J. Carlos ↔ S. Chkhetiani
Samgurali
🔄
78'
↔ T. Kvaratskhelia
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
78'
S. Kharebashvili ↔ L. Tsikolia
Dinamo Tbilisi
79'
A. Yoro · Assist: L. Tsikolia
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
90+2'
M. Makatsaria
Dinamo Tbilisi
90'
Wellissol
Samgurali

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.8%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 64.8%
Draw 13%
Samgurali Win 22.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dinamo Tbilisi1.35
Samgurali1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WWDLW
31 GF / 31 GA
Samgurali Samgurali
WLDWL
38 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
14
BTTS Yes
17
11
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 24 matches
Samgurali Samgurali 25 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Statistic Samgurali
7 Wins 10
9 Draws 6
8 Losses 9
31 Goals For 38
31 Goals Against 36
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
14 BTTS Yes 17
17 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Dinamo Tbilisi's more proactive style and Samgurali's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Samgurali. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Samgurali having the stronger overall control.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 25 points after 16 matches. The return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 23:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Vatsadze (5 goals), A. Yoro (4 goals), N. K. Donkor (3 goals), with creative support from N. Ninua (7 assists), G. Gvasalia (2 assists), R. Ramos (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Samgurali Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Samgurali have collected 21 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 20:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Wellissol (6 goals), Claudio Cebolinha (5 goals), I. Janjgava (2 goals), with creative support from Claudio Cebolinha (2 assists), L. Gegetchkori (2 assists), N. Tsetskhladze (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi won 7 times, Samgurali won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:19 from Dinamo Tbilisi's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
H2H summary: Dinamo Tbilisi wins 7, draws 4, Samgurali wins 4

Lineups

Dinamo Tbilisi
Formation
Samgurali
M. Makatsaria
M. Makatsaria
S. Kharebashvili
🎯
S. Kharebashvili
A. Kalandadze
A. Kalandadze
N. Kurdic
N. Kurdic
Leo Santos
Leo Santos
B. Osei
🎯
B. Osei
N. Ninua
🎯
N. Ninua
G. Kharaishvili
G. Kharaishvili
A. Yoro
A. Yoro
R. Ramos
R. Ramos
M. Vatsadze
🎯
M. Vatsadze
L. Kutaladze
L. Kutaladze
L. Gegetchkori
🎯
L. Gegetchkori
A. Jarjue Kabia
A. Jarjue Kabia
Ryan
Ryan
L. Shergelashvili
L. Shergelashvili
T. Berelidze
🎯
T. Berelidze
I. Janjgava
I. Janjgava
Wellissol
⚽ 3
Wellissol
J. Carlos
J. Carlos
N. Tsetskhladze
N. Tsetskhladze
Claudio Cebolinha
Claudio Cebolinha
Dinamo Tbilisi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
37
M. Makatsaria
🟨 90+2'
5
S. Kharebashvili
🎯 48' ↓ 78'
3
A. Kalandadze
⚽ 15'
27
N. Kurdic
6
Leo Santos
⚽ 48'
24
B. Osei
🎯 66'
22
N. Ninua
🎯 15'
10
G. Kharaishvili
↓ 59'
26
A. Yoro
⚽ 79'
13
R. Ramos
⚽ 11' ↓ 65'
11
M. Vatsadze
🎯 11' ↓ 65'
Substitutes
38
D. Chochoshvili
7
K. Doltmurziev
⚽ 66' ↑ 59'
17
N. K. Donkor
18
T. Kvaratskhelia
↑ 78'
19
I. Siradze
↑ 65'
20
R. Monteiro
21
D. Kvartskhava
↑ 65'
25
J. Onomah
32
L. Tsikolia
🎯 79' ↑ 78'
Samgurali 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Kutaladze
13
L. Gegetchkori
🎯 37' ↓ 65'
3
A. Jarjue Kabia
39
Ryan
27
L. Shergelashvili
8
T. Berelidze
🎯 1' ↓ 69'
5
I. Janjgava
11
Wellissol
⚽ 1' ⚽ 37' ⚽ 90' 🟨 14'
15
J. Carlos
↓ 77'
17
N. Tsetskhladze
↓ 65'
28
Claudio Cebolinha
Substitutes
21
A. Siukaev
2
L. Kvaratskhelia
↑ 65' 🟨 73'
4
O. Patarkatsishvili
9
L. Papava
↑ 69'
18
S. Chkhetiani
↑ 77'
22
G. Gogia
↑ 65'
33
Jefinho
Last matches: Dinamo Tbilisi
09.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
2
1
W
23.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
6
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
20.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
3
2
W
07.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
1
W
21.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
17.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
0
0
D
11.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
2
1
W
16.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Navbahor
1
1
D
Last matches: Samgurali
24.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
0
0
D
13.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
3
2
W
25.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
3
2
W
21.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
L
21.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
6
L
17.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
0
1
L
07.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
1
2
L
03.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
4
L
12.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Ulytau
2
2
D
16.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Petrocub
1
1
D
H2H: Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali
18.06.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
3
W
25.04.26
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
W
02.02.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1
1
D
22.10.25
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
L
10.08.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1
1
D
29.04.25
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
06.03.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
1
W
05.10.24
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
2
W
03.08.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
0
1
L
20.04.24
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
1
L
02.03.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
0
W
29.10.23
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
W
25.10.23
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
19.08.23
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
2
W
10.05.23
H2H
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
L
Last matches: Dinamo Tbilisi
23.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
2
0
W
07.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
2
1
W
21.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
17.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
03.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
1
2
L
11.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
0
0
D
16.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Navbahor
1
1
D
02.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1
1
D
26.01.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Shturmi
2
0
W
H2H at home: Dinamo Tbilisi
18.06.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
3
W
02.02.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1
1
D
10.08.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1
1
D
06.03.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
1
W
03.08.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
0
1
L
02.03.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
0
W
19.08.23
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
2
W
Last matches: Samgurali
24.06.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
0
0
D
29.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dila
3
2
W
21.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Rustavi
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ero
Samgurali
Dinamo Batumi
1
3
L
21.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
6
L
07.04.26
Ero
Samgurali
Saburtalo
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Spaeri
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Meshakhte
0
0
D
02.03.26
Ero
Samgurali
Gagra
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Ulytau
2
2
D
16.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Petrocub
1
1
D
12.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Lokomotiv
2
0
W
02.02.26
Fri
Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
2
L
H2H away: Samgurali
18.06.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
3
L
02.02.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1
1
D
10.08.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1
1
D
06.03.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
1
L
03.08.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
0
1
W
02.03.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
0
L
19.08.23
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
2
L

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6 19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9 19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2