GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
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Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.8%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Dila Win 28.3%
Draw 26.3%
Rustavi Win 45.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dila1.02
Rustavi1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dila Dila
WWDLW
18 GF / 19 GA
Rustavi Rustavi
WLDWL
31 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
7
BTTS Yes
15
6
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dila Dila 18 matches
Rustavi Rustavi 25 matches
Dila Statistic Rustavi
7 Wins 11
2 Draws 7
9 Losses 7
18 Goals For 31
19 Goals Against 26
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
7 BTTS Yes 15
9 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Rustavi's more proactive style and Dila's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rustavi. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rustavi having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Dila have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Dila Analysis

Dila approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 20 points from 17 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 15:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Menteshashvili (4 goals), S. Shekiladze (3 goals), B. Anoff (2 goals), with creative support from L. Menteshashvili (3 assists), B. Anoff (2 assists), A. Olatunji (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rustavi Analysis

Rustavi come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 29 points after 17 matches. The return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 20:14, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Jean (5 goals), A. Gujabidze (4 goals), I. Iakobidze (3 goals), with creative support from P. Osei (3 assists), S. Kessi (2 assists), K. Ceijas (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Dila won 2 times, Rustavi won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Dila's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.8%)
H2H summary: Dila wins 2, draws 5, Rustavi wins 3
Last matches: Dila
16.06.26
Ero
Dila
Spaeri
3
1
W
12.06.26
Ero
Dila
Dinamo Batumi
2
3
L
29.05.26
Ero
Dila
Samgurali
2
3
L
24.05.26
Ero
Dila
Gagra
0
2
L
20.05.26
Ero
Dila
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
15.05.26
Ero
Dila
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Dila
Meshakhte
2
0
W
06.05.26
Ero
Dila
Saburtalo
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ero
Dila
Rustavi
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ero
Dila
Spaeri
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ero
Dila
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Dila
Samgurali
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ero
Dila
Rustavi
1
2
L
07.04.26
Ero
Dila
Gagra
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ero
Dila
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
16.03.26
Ero
Dila
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ero
Dila
Meshakhte
0
1
L
06.03.26
Ero
Dila
Saburtalo
0
1
L
31.07.25
UEF
Dila
Riga
3
3
D
24.07.25
UEF
Dila
Riga
1
2
L
Last matches: Rustavi
17.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
13.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
1
0
W
29.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
0
1
L
21.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
3
L
05.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
22.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
2
1
W
07.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
03.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
2
L
11.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
0
W
17.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
L
H2H: Dila vs Rustavi
01.05.26
H2H
Rustavi
Dila
1
0
L
11.04.26
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
1
2
L
30.11.19
H2H
Rustavi
Dila
2
2
D
14.09.19
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
0
0
D
14.06.19
H2H
Rustavi
Dila
2
1
L
20.04.19
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
2
1
W
29.11.18
H2H
Rustavi
Dila
0
0
D
23.09.18
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
2
0
W
22.06.18
H2H
Rustavi
Dila
2
2
D
21.04.18
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
2
2
D
Last matches: Dila
16.06.26
Ero
Dila
Spaeri
3
1
W
29.05.26
Ero
Dila
Samgurali
2
3
L
20.05.26
Ero
Dila
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
06.05.26
Ero
Dila
Saburtalo
0
1
L
22.04.26
Ero
Dila
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ero
Dila
Rustavi
1
2
L
07.04.26
Ero
Dila
Gagra
1
1
D
16.03.26
Ero
Dila
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ero
Dila
Meshakhte
0
1
L
31.07.25
UEF
Dila
Riga
3
3
D
17.07.25
UEF
Dila
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1
0
W
H2H at home: Dila
11.04.26
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
1
2
L
14.09.19
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
0
0
D
20.04.19
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
2
1
W
23.09.18
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
2
0
W
21.04.18
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
2
2
D
Last matches: Rustavi
17.06.26
Ero
Rustavi
Saburtalo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Batumi
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Gagra
1
1
D
05.05.26
Ero
Rustavi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
22.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Meshakhte
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Spaeri
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dila
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ero
Rustavi
Samgurali
1
2
L
11.03.26
Ero
Rustavi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
12.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Oleksandria
0
1
L
10.02.26
Fri
Rustavi
Sogdiana
3
1
W
H2H away: Rustavi
11.04.26
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
1
2
W
14.09.19
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
0
0
D
20.04.19
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
2
1
L
23.09.18
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
2
0
L
21.04.18
H2H
Dila
Rustavi
2
2
D

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 5 4 22:15 7 32
W W W L W
2 18 9 4 5 25:17 8 31
L D W L W
3 18 7 7 4 29:20 9 28
W L W L D
4 18 7 6 5 27:28 -1 27
W W L W D
5 18 7 5 6 30:19 11 26
L L L W W
6 18 7 3 8 25:32 -7 24
L W W W L
7
Dila Home
18 7 2 9 18:19 -1 23
W L L L D
8 18 5 6 7 25:25 0 21
L D L W D
9 18 5 6 7 18:24 -6 21
D W W W L
10 18 1 8 9 12:32 -20 11
D L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2