Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
13.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
19 matches
St Patrick's Athl.
19 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | St Patrick's Athl. |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 10 |
| 8 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 4 |
| 22 | Goals For | 35 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.84 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.71 | Shots On Goal | 5.65 |
| 13.18 | Total Shots | 16.88 |
| 6.06 | Corners | 5.41 |
| 54.2% | Ball Possession | 54.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around St Patrick's Athl.'s more proactive style and Derry City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Derry City expected to line up in 4-3-3 and St Patrick's Athl. in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St Patrick's Athl. having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring St Patrick's Athl.. St Patrick's Athl. carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 31 points while Derry City sit 6 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Derry City sit 6 with 20 points after 17 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:21 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Duffy (5 goals), James Clarke (4 goals), D. Akinyemi (3 goals), with creative support from Ben Doherty (2 assists), Brandon Fleming (2 assists), J. McClean (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 2 with 31 points from 17 outings, St Patrick's Athl. continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 31:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Edmondson (8 goals), K. Leavy (4 goals), A. Keena (3 goals), with creative support from K. Leavy (3 assists), Z. Elbouzedi (3 assists), J. Lennon (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 8 times, St Patrick's Athl. won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:11 from Derry City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Derry City
3
1
4
1
3
4
Lineups
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bray Wanderers
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 |
St Patrick's Athl.
Away
|
24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Home
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|