16.07.2026 17:30
Brandywell Stadium
Referee: Jasmin Sabotic, Luxembourg
Derry City
Match Timeline
CSKA Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
46'
Ángelo Martino
CSKA Sofia
🔄
46'
K. Santos ↔ N. Twisk
Derry City
47'
E. Chapman · Assist: B. Fleming
Derry City
74'
I. Pittas · Assist: D. Evtimov
CSKA Sofia
🟨
75'
Teodor Ivanov
CSKA Sofia
🔄
75'
L. Godoy ↔ J. Zwarts
CSKA Sofia
🔄
75'
P. Panayotov ↔ J. Eto'o
CSKA Sofia
🔄
77'
C. Grogan ↔ J. Stott
Derry City
🔄
77'
J. Olayinka ↔ C. Dummigan
Derry City
🟨
79'
Christy Grogan
Derry City
🟨
90+13'
Stefano Sensi
CSKA Sofia
🟨
90+4'
Facundo Rodríguez
CSKA Sofia
🔄
90+10'
E. Chapman ↔ J. Clarke
Derry City
🔄
90+10'
I. Solet ↔ J. Gbamin
CSKA Sofia
🔄
90+16'
I. Pittas ↔ M. Brahimi
CSKA Sofia
90'
B. Cotter
CSKA Sofia

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 85.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49%
-
BTTS Yes
83.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
85.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Derry City Win 37.6%
Draw 13.4%
CSKA Sofia Win 49%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City1.39
CSKA Sofia1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derry City Derry City
WWDLW
35 GF / 37 GA
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
WLDWL
20 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
2
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
18
BTTS Yes
6
15
Over 2.5
8
4.08
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derry City Derry City 28 matches
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 10 matches
Derry City Statistic CSKA Sofia
6 Wins 6
11 Draws 1
11 Losses 3
35 Goals For 20
37 Goals Against 16
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
18 BTTS Yes 6
19 Over 1.5 9
15 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 3
4.08 Shots On Goal 0
12 Total Shots 0
5.38 Corners 0
50.5% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 0 times, CSKA Sofia won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Derry City's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.6%)
Predicted formations: Derry City 4-3-3 / CSKA Sofia 3-5-2
H2H summary: Derry City wins 0, draws 0, CSKA Sofia wins 2

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)