Derry City
Match Timeline
CSKA Sofia
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
0 agree /
1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
49%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
83.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
85.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 8.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Derry City Win 37.6%
Draw 13.4%
CSKA Sofia Win 49%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City1.39
CSKA Sofia1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derry City
WWDLW
35 GF / 37 GA
CSKA Sofia
WLDWL
20 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
2
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
18
BTTS Yes
6
15
Over 2.5
8
4.08
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
28 matches
CSKA Sofia
10 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 11 | Draws | 1 |
| 11 | Losses | 3 |
| 35 | Goals For | 20 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.08 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 5.38 | Corners | 0 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 0 times, CSKA Sofia won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Derry City's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.6%)
Predicted formations: Derry City 4-3-3 / CSKA Sofia 3-5-2
H2H summary: Derry City wins 0, draws 0, CSKA Sofia wins 2
Stats
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Shots on Goal
0
0
Shots on Goal
0
0
Shots off Goal
0
0
Shots off Goal
0
0
Blocked Shots
0
0
Blocked Shots
0
0
Lineups
Derry City
Formation
CSKA Sofia
B. Maher
C. Barr
C. Grogan
P. McClean
B. Fleming
A. O'Reilly
J. Olayinka
E. Chapman
B. Cotter
M. Duffy
K. Santos
D. Evtimov
T. Ivanov
P. Panayotov
F. Rodriguez
Pastor
I. Solet
B. Jordao
S. Sensi
A. Martino
I. Pittas
L. Godoy
Derry City
4-3-3
Starting XI
1
B. Maher
G
22
C. Barr
D
25
C. Grogan
D
↓ 77'
🟨 79'
3
P. McClean
D
19
B. Fleming
M
🎯 47'
8
A. O'Reilly
M
28
J. Olayinka
M
↓ 77'
14
E. Chapman
M
⚽ 47'
↓ 90+10'
2
B. Cotter
M
⚽ 90'
7
M. Duffy
M
21
K. Santos
M
↓ 46'
Substitutes
13
T. Norcott
G
26
S. Callister
G
4
J. Stott
D
↑ 77'
6
R. Slevin
D
15
J. Clarke
M
↑ 90+10'
16
J. McClean
M
17
N. Twisk
M
↑ 46'
23
C. Dummigan
D
↑ 77'
32
T. Doherty
F
35
L. Kelly
F
CSKA Sofia
3-5-2
Starting XI
25
D. Evtimov
G
🎯 74'
14
T. Ivanov
D
🟨 75'
30
P. Panayotov
M
↓ 75'
32
F. Rodriguez
D
🟨 90+4'
2
Pastor
D
94
I. Solet
M
↓ 90+10'
6
B. Jordao
M
8
S. Sensi
M
🟨 90+13'
17
A. Martino
D
🟨 46'
28
I. Pittas
F
⚽ 74'
↓ 90+16'
9
L. Godoy
F
↓ 75'
Substitutes
31
D. Nikolov
G
3
T. Ouorou
D
5
J. Gbamin
D
↑ 90+10'
10
J. Zwarts
F
↑ 75'
11
M. Brahimi
M
↑ 90+16'
19
A. Yordanov
D
34
V. Kaymakanov
M
38
Leo Pereira
M
77
A. Piedrahita
M
80
G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
M
91
A. Tunchev
D
99
J. Eto'o
↑ 75'
Last matches: Derry City
21.08.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
3
5
L
07.08.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
30.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
23.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
Last matches: CSKA Sofia
20.08.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
OFI
0
3
L
16.08.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Vratsa
5
0
W
13.08.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
3
L
09.08.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3
0
W
02.08.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Dunav Ruse
2
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
27.07.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
3
2
W
23.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
20.07.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
09.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
W
03.07.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Odra Opole
3
2
W
24.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Polessya
0
4
L
20.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Brinje-Grosuplje
2
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
13.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
08.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
1
0
W
H2H: Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
16.07.26
H2H
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
09.07.26
H2H
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
3
2
L
Last matches: Derry City
07.08.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
2
D
13.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
4
2
W
20.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
H2H at home: Derry City
16.07.26
H2H
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
Last matches: CSKA Sofia
20.08.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
OFI
0
3
L
09.08.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
CSKA Sofia
Qarabag
0
0
D
20.07.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
28.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Odra Opole
3
2
W
20.06.26
Fri
CSKA Sofia
Brinje-Grosuplje
2
1
W
25.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
16.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
2
L
08.05.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Montana
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Beroe
3
0
W
14.03.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets
0
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fir
CSKA Sofia
CSKA 1948
2
0
W
06.12.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Cherno More Varna
0
2
L
29.11.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Spartak Varna
4
0
W
08.11.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
0
W
19.10.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
27.09.25
Fir
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
H2H away: CSKA Sofia
16.07.26
H2H
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
W