12.09.2026 21:30
Estadio Ricardo Gregor
Referee: M. D. de Vivar
Deportivo Recoleta
Match Timeline
Sportivo Trinidense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Ronal Iván Domínguez Colmán
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
25'
Dairon Mosquera
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
35'
Alan Tobias Morinigo
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
40'
Marcos Antonio Pereira Esteche
Deportivo Recoleta
45+3'
Armando Ruiz Díaz
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
46'
Axel Rolando Cañete Ortiz
Sportivo Trinidense
🟥
58'
Dairon Mosquera
Deportivo Recoleta
60'
Alan Tobias Morinigo · Assist: Agustín Da Silveira Muñoa
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
65'
Ronal Iván Domínguez Colmán ↔ Alejandro Silva
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
65'
Wilfrido Baez ↔ Brahian Vidal Ferreira Benítez
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
65'
Marcelo Medina ↔ Luis Cardozo
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
71'
Sergio Mendoza ↔ Néstor Camacho
Sportivo Trinidense
72'
Néstor Camacho · Assist: Tomás Ezequiel Rayer
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
73'
Aldo Walmor González Román ↔ R. Ortiz
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
73'
Pedro David Ríos Galeano ↔ Héctor López Gayoso
Deportivo Recoleta
79'
Paul Charpentier · Assist: Alejandro Silva
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
80'
Nelson Ariel Gauto Castillo ↔ Jorge Gabriel Marcelino Rolón
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
80'
Luis Carlos Abreu Benegas ↔ Alan Cano
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
80'
Clementino González ↔ Fabrizio Baruja
Sportivo Trinidense
🟥
83'
Héctor López Gayoso
Deportivo Recoleta
84'
Armando Ruiz Díaz
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
84'
Alan Tobias Morinigo ↔ Diego Melgarejo
Sportivo Trinidense

Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.99
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.86
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.2%
1.99
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.86
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.42
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Recoleta Win 23.9%
Draw 4.9%
Sportivo Trinidense Win 71.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Recoleta1.32
Sportivo Trinidense1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
WWDLW
47 GF / 52 GA
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
WLDWL
45 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
23
BTTS Yes
21
21
Over 2.5
17
3.58
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 31 matches
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 31 matches
Deportivo Recoleta Statistic Sportivo Trinidense
10 Wins 12
5 Draws 10
16 Losses 9
47 Goals For 45
52 Goals Against 32
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
23 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 24
21 Over 2.5 17
12 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 5
3.58 Shots On Goal 4.13
10.23 Total Shots 11.9
3.65 Corners 4.13
47.4% Ball Possession 39.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Sportivo Trinidense's more proactive style and Deportivo Recoleta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Sportivo Trinidense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 14 points while Deportivo Recoleta sit 11 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sportivo Trinidense. Deportivo Recoleta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Recoleta Analysis

With 7 points from 9 games and a place of 11, Deportivo Recoleta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 12:20 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on H. López (2 goals), W. Báez (1 goals), A. González (1 goals), with creative support from W. Báez (2 assists), A. González (1 assists), P. Charpentier (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sportivo Trinidense Analysis

Sportivo Trinidense arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 14 points after 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 15:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Abreu (3 goals), T. Rayer (2 goals), N. Maná (1 goals), with creative support from N. Maná (2 assists), A. Morinigo (2 assists), L. Abreu (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 times, Sportivo Trinidense won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:13 from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2 / Sportivo Trinidense 4-4-2
H2H summary: Deportivo Recoleta wins 1, draws 2, Sportivo Trinidense wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 19:12 7 23
D W W L D
2 11 7 1 3 20:9 11 22
W W W D W
3 11 6 3 2 18:6 12 21
W W L W W
4 11 6 3 2 12:11 1 21
L L W D W
5 11 5 2 4 18:10 8 17
L W L W L
6 11 4 5 2 12:9 3 17
W D W D D
7 11 4 5 2 13:12 1 17
D W W L D
8 11 5 2 4 14:10 4 17
W D W W D
9 10 3 1 6 11:20 -9 10
L L D W L
10 11 2 2 7 11:21 -10 8
L L L W L
11 10 2 1 7 13:23 -10 7
L L L L L
12 11 0 1 10 3:21 -18 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)