03.08.2026 21:30
Deportivo Recoleta
Match Timeline
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Recoleta Win 67.9%
Draw 4.5%
Nacional Asuncion Win 27.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Recoleta1.31
Nacional Asuncion1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Recoleta
WWDLW
37 GF / 37 GA
Nacional Asuncion
WLDWL
34 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
17
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
10
3.71
Shots on Goal
3.88
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Recoleta
24 matches
Nacional Asuncion
24 matches
| Deportivo Recoleta | Statistic | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 11 |
| 5 | Draws | 10 |
| 11 | Losses | 3 |
| 37 | Goals For | 34 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.71 | Shots On Goal | 3.88 |
| 10.17 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 3.67 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 48.4% | Ball Possession | 49.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Recoleta won 2 times, Nacional Asuncion won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Deportivo Recoleta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2 / Nacional Asuncion 4-4-2
H2H summary: Deportivo Recoleta wins 2, draws 4, Nacional Asuncion wins 2
Standings
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Nacional Asuncion
Away
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 21 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 17 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
Deportivo Recoleta
Home
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3:21 | -18 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)