COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
31.08.2026 23:00
Estadio Departamental Libertad
Referee: Colmenares Perez, Camilo Alejandro
Deportivo Pasto
Match Timeline
Deportivo Pereira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
J. Monroy · Assist: J. Largacha
Deportivo Pereira
21'
M. S. Jimenez · Assist: D. Chavez
Deportivo Pasto
🟥
27'
Geovanni Banguera
Deportivo Pasto
VAR
27'
Geovanni Banguera
Deportivo Pasto
🔄
30'
P. Preciado ↔ E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
36'
Jorge Bermúdez
Deportivo Pereira
41'
J. Largacha · Assist: S. Urrea
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
46'
H. Goyes ↔ H. Valencia
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
47'
Matías Pisano
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
58'
Miguel Aguirre
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
66'
F. Mosquera ↔ F. Delgado
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
67'
M. Aguirre ↔ N. Rengifo
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
71'
M. S. Jimenez ↔ J. Micolta Piedahita
Deportivo Pasto
🔄
71'
M. Gil ↔ J. Perlaza
Deportivo Pasto
🔄
75'
J. Largacha ↔ W. Pacheco
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
75'
M. Perez ↔ A. Plata
Deportivo Pereira
🟨
77'
Diego Chávez
Deportivo Pasto
🔄
78'
D. Chavez ↔ J. Mendez
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
83'
Fabio Delgado
Deportivo Pereira
🔄
88'
J. Monroy ↔ R. Renteria
Deportivo Pereira

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 83%
Odds 1.07
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
83%
1.07
BTTS No
65.8%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.74
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.4%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05
Correct Score 2-0
-
5.50
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Pasto Win 53.5%
Draw 29.5%
Deportivo Pereira Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Pasto1.35
Deportivo Pereira0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
WWDLW
35 GF / 39 GA
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WLDWL
15 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.68
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
14
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
8
3.56
Shots on Goal
3.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 28 matches
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 22 matches
Deportivo Pasto Statistic Deportivo Pereira
11 Wins 1
5 Draws 9
12 Losses 12
35 Goals For 15
39 Goals Against 33
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
14 BTTS Yes 8
21 Over 1.5 11
13 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 13
3.56 Shots On Goal 3.27
11.15 Total Shots 8.95
4 Corners 2.36
51.7% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportivo Pasto's more proactive style and Deportivo Pereira's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Pereira. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Deportivo Pasto arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 34 points compared to Deportivo Pereira in 20 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Pasto expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Deportivo Pereira in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Pereira having the stronger overall control. Deportivo Pasto have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Pasto Analysis

Deportivo Pasto sit 3 with 34 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 29:25, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Santiago Córdoba (1 goals), Jorge Obregón (1 goals), Joider Micolta (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Córdoba (1 assists), Diego Chávez (1 assists), Hervin Goyes (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

Deportivo Pereira sit 20 with 10 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 15:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Pasto won 4 times, Deportivo Pereira won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from Deportivo Pasto's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Pasto 4-4-2 / Deportivo Pereira 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Pasto wins 4, draws 4, Deportivo Pereira wins 7

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L D L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L D L W W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification