ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
20.09.2026 18:00
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano

Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds 2.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.87
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.8%
2.10
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.87
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.51
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Moron Win 61.8%
Draw 3.7%
Godoy Cruz Win 34.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Moron1.3
Godoy Cruz1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
WWDLW
49 GF / 29 GA
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
WLDWL
36 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
16
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 31 matches
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 30 matches
Deportivo Moron Statistic Godoy Cruz
17 Wins 14
7 Draws 7
7 Losses 9
49 Goals For 36
29 Goals Against 26
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
16 BTTS Yes 13
24 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 4
11 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Godoy Cruz having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Godoy Cruz.

Deportivo Moron Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 52 points from 28 games, Deportivo Moron bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 45:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Godoy Cruz Analysis

Godoy Cruz come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 46 points after 28 matches. With 13 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 34:25, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Moron won 1 times, Godoy Cruz won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Deportivo Moron's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Moron wins 1, draws 1, Godoy Cruz wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation