ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Deportivo Moron
Match Timeline
Ferro Carril Oeste
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
L. Pena Biafore
Deportivo Moron
🟨
29'
M. Levato
Deportivo Moron
32'
M. Levato · Assist: F. Fagundez
Deportivo Moron
🟨
42'
F. Monetti
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
46'
L. Parisi ↔ G. Castellani
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
46'
G. Olguin ↔ M. Benegas
Ferro Carril Oeste
48'
J. Esquivel · Assist: F. Fagundez
Deportivo Moron
🟥
50'
G. Canto
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
51'
E. Hoyos
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
53'
E. Dening ↔ M. Taron
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟥
61'
G. Castellani
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
64'
E. Hoyos ↔ L. Marra
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
64'
A. Gonzalez ↔ N. Gomez
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
66'
J. Esquivel ↔ M. Bittolo
Deportivo Moron
🔄
66'
M. Levato ↔ J. Olivares
Deportivo Moron
🔄
66'
E. Contreras ↔ F. Toloza
Deportivo Moron
67'
F. Toloza · Assist: J. Olivares
Deportivo Moron
🟨
69'
B. Salvareschi
Deportivo Moron
🔄
71'
B. Salvareschi ↔ L. Cardozo
Deportivo Moron
🔄
71'
F. Fagundez ↔ G. Berterame
Deportivo Moron
🟨
87'
L. Marra
Ferro Carril Oeste

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Moron Win 38.3%
Draw 13.9%
Ferro Carril Oeste Win 47.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Moron1.11
Ferro Carril Oeste1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
WWDLW
31 GF / 21 GA
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
WLDWL
25 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.19
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
11
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 22 matches
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 21 matches
Deportivo Moron Statistic Ferro Carril Oeste
11 Wins 13
5 Draws 4
6 Losses 4
31 Goals For 25
21 Goals Against 14
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
11 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 1
8 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ferro Carril Oeste look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ferro Carril Oeste. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ferro Carril Oeste having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Moron Analysis

Deportivo Moron arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 35 points after 20 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 29:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 43 points from 21 games, Ferro Carril Oeste bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 13 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:14, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Moron won 3 times, Ferro Carril Oeste won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:13 from Deportivo Moron's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Moron wins 3, draws 1, Ferro Carril Oeste wins 5

Lineups

Deportivo Moron
Formation
Ferro Carril Oeste
F. Diaz
F. Diaz
E. Iniguez
E. Iniguez
B. Salvareschi
B. Salvareschi
F. Vazquez
F. Vazquez
J. Livera
J. Livera
E. Contreras
E. Contreras
M. Burruchaga
M. Burruchaga
S. Kubiszyn
S. Kubiszyn
F. Fagundez
🎯
F. Fagundez
M. Levato
M. Levato
J. Esquivel
J. Esquivel
F. Monetti
F. Monetti
F. Torrent
F. Torrent
L. Pena Biafore
L. Pena Biafore
G. Canto
G. Canto
E. Ozuna
E. Ozuna
A. Gonzalez
A. Gonzalez
G. Olguin
G. Olguin
M. Kabalin
M. Kabalin
E. Hoyos
E. Hoyos
L. Parisi
L. Parisi
E. Dening
E. Dening
Deportivo Moron 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Diaz
4
E. Iniguez
2
B. Salvareschi
↓ 71' 🟨 69'
6
F. Vazquez
3
J. Livera
7
E. Contreras
↓ 66'
5
M. Burruchaga
8
S. Kubiszyn
10
F. Fagundez
🎯 32' 🎯 48' ↓ 71'
9
M. Levato
⚽ 32' ↓ 66' 🟨 29'
11
J. Esquivel
⚽ 48' ↓ 66'
Substitutes
12
J. Salva
13
L. Cardozo
↑ 71'
14
I. M. Vaquero
15
M. Bittolo
↑ 66'
16
E. Franco
17
G. Gonzalez
18
G. Berterame
↑ 71'
19
J. Olivares
🎯 67' ↑ 66'
20
F. Toloza
⚽ 67' ↑ 66'
Ferro Carril Oeste 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Monetti
🟨 42'
4
F. Torrent
2
L. Pena Biafore
⚽ 20'
6
G. Canto
🟥 50'
3
E. Ozuna
7
A. Gonzalez
↓ 64'
5
G. Olguin
↓ 46'
8
M. Kabalin
10
E. Hoyos
↓ 64' 🟨 51'
9
L. Parisi
↓ 46'
11
E. Dening
↓ 53'
Substitutes
12
L. Ruiz
13
M. Taron
↑ 53'
14
M. Zubowicz
15
S. Corda
16
G. Castellani
↑ 46' 🟥 61'
17
L. Marra
↑ 64' 🟨 87'
18
P. Uriel
19
N. Gomez
↑ 64'
20
M. Benegas
↑ 46'
Last matches: Deportivo Moron
21.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
San Telmo
2
2
D
15.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almagro
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
4
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Chaco For Ever
0
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
04.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Defensores De Belgrano
1
2
L
21.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
13.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
1
W
07.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
CA Estudiantes
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
All Boys
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Los Andes
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Godoy Cruz
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Racing Cordoba
2
1
W
23.04.26
Cop
Deportivo Moron
Midland
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Colon Santa Fe
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
San Miguel
1
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
San Telmo
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almagro
0
2
L
Last matches: Ferro Carril Oeste
24.08.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
All Boys
1
0
W
15.08.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atlanta
3
1
W
09.08.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Los Andes
2
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Godoy Cruz
1
3
L
17.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Colon Santa Fe
2
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Miguel
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Telmo
2
1
W
21.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
1
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Acassuso
2
1
W
07.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Central Norte
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Madryn
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Ciudad de Bolívar
4
2
W
28.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atletico Mitre
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
All Boys
0
0
D
28.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atlanta
1
0
W
H2H: Deportivo Moron vs Ferro Carril Oeste
26.07.26
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
4
0
W
21.06.26
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
1
0
L
12.09.22
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
1
2
W
01.08.21
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
20.03.21
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
2
0
L
12.12.20
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
2
3
L
09.05.20
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D
24.11.19
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
1
0
L
17.03.19
H2H
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Moron
5
1
L
11.02.18
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D
Last matches: Deportivo Moron
15.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almagro
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
4
1
W
11.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
07.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
CA Estudiantes
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Los Andes
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Racing Cordoba
2
1
W
23.04.26
Cop
Deportivo Moron
Midland
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Colon Santa Fe
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
San Telmo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Chaco For Ever
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Central Norte
2
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
30.06.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
21.06.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
06.06.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Platense
2
1
W
24.05.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Barracas Central
1
1
D
10.05.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
28.04.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Excursionistas
5
0
W
12.04.17
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Colegiales
1
0
W
H2H at home: Deportivo Moron
26.07.26
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
4
0
W
01.08.21
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
12.12.20
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
2
3
L
09.05.20
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D
11.02.18
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D
Last matches: Ferro Carril Oeste
09.08.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Los Andes
2
1
W
11.07.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Miguel
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Deportivo Madryn
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Ciudad de Bolívar
4
2
W
19.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atletico Mitre
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
All Boys
0
0
D
28.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Atlanta
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Ferro Carril Oeste
San Telmo
2
0
W
H2H away: Ferro Carril Oeste
26.07.26
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
4
0
L
01.08.21
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
L
12.12.20
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
2
3
W
09.05.20
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D
11.02.18
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
0
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 4 6 32:23 9 52
W W W L L
2 25 13 6 6 41:24 17 45
D W W L W
3 26 12 9 5 34:20 14 45
W W W D L
4 26 11 8 7 22:16 6 41
W L W W D
5 25 10 10 5 36:24 12 40
W D W W D
6 25 11 7 7 29:22 7 40
W L W W W
7 26 9 8 9 23:22 1 35
L W L D L
8 26 8 11 7 22:23 -1 35
D L L L W
9 25 8 9 8 20:15 5 33
L L L L D
10 26 8 8 10 24:29 -5 32
D D W L W
11 25 6 11 8 20:25 -5 29
L W L L D
12 26 6 11 9 25:33 -8 29
L D W W D
13 25 6 9 10 17:25 -8 27
W D D W L
14 26 5 12 9 15:24 -9 27
L W D L D
15 25 5 11 9 16:23 -7 26
L D L D D
16 25 6 7 12 22:29 -7 25
W L L W W
17 25 5 9 11 20:29 -9 24
D L L W L
18 25 5 7 13 18:30 -12 22
L D L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation