ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.28
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.6%
1.83
BTTS No
60.3%
1.28
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.30
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.60
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-0
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Moron Win 69.6%
Draw 4.9%
Almirante Brown Win 25.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Moron1.15
Almirante Brown0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
WWDLW
25 GF / 15 GA
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
WLDWL
9 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
0.6
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
8
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 17 matches
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 15 matches
Deportivo Moron Statistic Almirante Brown
9 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
25 Goals For 9
15 Goals Against 10
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
8 BTTS Yes 4
13 Over 1.5 5
7 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 0
7 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Moron's more proactive style and Almirante Brown's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportivo Moron arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 28 points compared to Almirante Brown in 9 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Almirante Brown having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Almirante Brown. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Moron Analysis

Placed 1 with 28 points from 15 outings, Deportivo Moron continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 23:13 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Almirante Brown Analysis

Almirante Brown are currently 9 in the standings with 20 points from 15 matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 9:10 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Moron won 4 times, Almirante Brown won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:11 from Deportivo Moron's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Moron wins 4, draws 6, Almirante Brown wins 1
Last matches: Deportivo Moron
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
CA Estudiantes
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
All Boys
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Los Andes
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Godoy Cruz
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Racing Cordoba
2
1
W
23.04.26
Cop
Deportivo Moron
Midland
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Colon Santa Fe
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
San Miguel
1
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
San Telmo
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Almagro
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Acassuso
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Chaco For Ever
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Central Norte
2
0
W
26.02.26
Cop
Deportivo Moron
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Deportivo Madryn
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
Last matches: Almirante Brown
30.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
San Miguel
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
San Telmo
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Acassuso
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Chaco For Ever
1
0
W
28.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Central Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Madryn
1
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Defensores De Belgrano
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Racing Cordoba
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
All Boys
2
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Los Andes
0
0
D
H2H: Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown
14.06.25
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
2
0
W
09.02.25
H2H
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
1
1
D
25.08.24
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
06.04.24
H2H
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
1
1
D
27.08.23
H2H
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
0
1
W
15.04.23
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
2
2
D
18.06.22
H2H
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
1
1
D
21.06.17
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
06.12.16
H2H
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
1
1
D
14.07.15
H2H
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
1
2
W
04.03.15
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
4
3
W
Last matches: Deportivo Moron
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
CA Estudiantes
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Los Andes
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Racing Cordoba
2
1
W
23.04.26
Cop
Deportivo Moron
Midland
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Colon Santa Fe
2
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
San Telmo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Chaco For Ever
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Central Norte
2
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Moron
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
H2H at home: Deportivo Moron
14.06.25
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
2
0
W
25.08.24
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
15.04.23
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
2
2
D
21.06.17
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
04.03.15
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
4
3
W
Last matches: Almirante Brown
23.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
San Miguel
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Acassuso
0
0
D
28.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Madryn
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Racing Cordoba
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Los Andes
0
0
D
H2H away: Almirante Brown
14.06.25
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
2
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
0
1
W
15.04.23
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
2
2
D
21.06.17
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
04.03.15
H2H
Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
4
3
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.80
Draw 2.97
Home 1.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.14
Draw 1.83
Home 2.69
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.0 1.29
Over 1.25 1.55
Over 1.5 1.81
Over 1.75 2.09
Over 2.0 2.64
Over 2.25 3.04
Over 2.5 3.52
Under 0.5 4.92
Under 1.0 3.64
Under 1.25 2.48
Under 1.5 2.03
Under 1.75 1.76
Under 2.0 1.49
Under 2.25 1.37
Under 2.5 1.30
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 3.00
Home 1.83
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 1.80
Home 2.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 1.91
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.20
Over 1.5 1.83
Over 2.5 4.00
Over 3.5 9.00
Over 4.5 21.00
Over 5.5 51.00
Under 0.5 4.33
Under 1.5 1.83
Under 2.5 1.25
Under 3.5 1.07
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.29
Draw 2.62
Home 1.89
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.17
Draw 1.64
Home 2.81
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.22
Draw 1.89
Home 2.41
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.16
Over 0.75 1.22
Over 1.0 1.31
Over 1.25 1.62
Over 1.5 1.89
Over 1.75 2.17
Over 2.0 2.83
Over 2.25 3.28
Over 2.5 3.72
Over 2.75 4.84
Over 3.0 7.40
Over 3.25 7.80
Over 3.5 8.30
Over 3.75 9.10
Over 4.0 10.00
Over 4.5 16.50
Over 5.5 24.00
Under 0.5 4.15
Under 0.75 3.50
Under 1.0 2.92
Under 1.25 2.15
Under 1.5 1.81
Under 1.75 1.55
Under 2.0 1.33
Under 2.25 1.25
Under 2.5 1.20
Under 2.75 1.11
Under 3.0 1.03
Under 3.25 1.02
Under 3.5 1.02
Under 3.75 1.00
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.00

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 4 3 23:13 10 28
?
1 16 9 3 4 21:10 11 30
?
2 16 6 8 2 12:4 8 26
?
2 15 8 3 4 21:18 3 27
?
3 15 6 8 1 13:8 5 26
?
3 16 6 8 2 15:10 5 26
?
4 15 6 7 2 18:13 5 25
?
4 16 7 4 5 17:11 6 25
?
5 15 7 4 4 15:11 4 25
?
5 16 7 4 5 14:12 2 25
?
6 15 6 5 4 20:15 5 23
?
6 15 6 3 6 22:18 4 21
?
7 15 5 7 3 16:11 5 22
?
7 15 5 6 4 14:12 2 21
?
8 16 4 8 4 12:12 0 20
?
8 15 5 5 5 15:16 -1 20
?
9 15 5 5 5 9:10 -1 20
?
9 16 5 5 6 16:18 -2 20
?
10 16 5 5 6 10:13 -3 20
?
10 15 4 8 3 12:15 -3 20
?
11 16 4 8 4 12:17 -5 20
?
11 14 4 6 4 13:12 1 18
?
12 16 5 3 8 11:15 -4 18
?
12 15 5 3 7 14:17 -3 18
?
13 15 3 8 4 16:15 1 17
?
13 15 4 6 5 10:13 -3 18
?
14 15 4 4 7 13:18 -5 16
?
14 15 4 5 6 14:11 3 17
?
15 15 3 6 6 12:16 -4 15
?
15 16 4 5 7 12:16 -4 17
?
16 15 3 6 6 8:15 -7 15
?
16 15 4 5 6 12:17 -5 17
?
17 16 3 5 8 10:16 -6 14
?
17 16 4 4 8 11:18 -7 16
?
18 15 1 6 8 11:20 -9 9
?
18 15 4 4 7 15:23 -8 16
?