Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Deportivo Merlo
Real Pilar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Merlo
24 matches
Real Pilar
25 matches
| Deportivo Merlo | Statistic | Real Pilar |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 10 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 27 | Goals For | 27 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Real Pilar's more proactive style and Deportivo Merlo's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Pilar having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Pilar. Deportivo Merlo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 31 points from 21 games and a place of 9, Deportivo Merlo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 26:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 21 matches, Real Pilar have collected 32 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 24:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Merlo won 3 times, Real Pilar won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Deportivo Merlo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 62 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 44:22 | 22 | 60 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 60 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 35:16 | 19 | 60 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 35:17 | 18 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 38:25 | 13 | 55 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Real Pilar
Away
|
33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 52 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 35:37 | -2 | 47 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 39:42 | -3 | 46 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 38:34 | 4 | 43 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:31 | 1 | 43 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 30:32 | -2 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 40 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Deportivo Merlo
Home
|
32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
| 15 | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 37 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 25:33 | -8 | 36 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 28:39 | -11 | 35 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 33 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 33 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 21 | 33 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 28 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 19:51 | -32 | 14 |
L
L
D
D
L
|