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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
25.10.2026 20:00
Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti

Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.8%
- ▥
BTTS No
65.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
88%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Maipu Win 84.8%
Draw 5.5%
Club Atlético Güemes Win 9.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Maipu1.36
Club Atlético Güemes0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
WWDLW
41 GF / 34 GA
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes
WLDWL
25 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.74
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
15
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 36 matches
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 34 matches
Deportivo Maipu Statistic Club Atlético Güemes
14 Wins 6
9 Draws 8
13 Losses 20
41 Goals For 25
34 Goals Against 57
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.74
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
15 BTTS Yes 18
18 Over 1.5 28
13 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 4
13 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportivo Maipu's more proactive style and Club Atlético Güemes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Club Atlético Güemes. Club Atlético Güemes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Deportivo Maipu arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 48 points compared to Club Atlético Güemes in 18 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Club Atlético Güemes having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Deportivo Maipu Analysis

So far, Deportivo Maipu have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 48 points from 34 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 40:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Club Atlético Güemes Analysis

Club Atlético Güemes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 23 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 20 defeats with a 23:56 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maipu won 0 times, Club Atlético Güemes won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:10 from Deportivo Maipu's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Maipu wins 0, draws 3, Club Atlético Güemes wins 3

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 14 4 33:15 18 62
W D D W D
2 34 16 12 6 41:28 13 60
D W W L W
3 34 16 10 8 51:42 9 58
W D L D D
4 34 18 4 12 40:33 7 58
L W W W D
5 34 14 10 10 37:31 6 52
W D L W L
6 34 14 9 11 40:29 11 51
L W D L W
7 34 14 8 12 35:31 4 50
W D W W L
8 34 13 9 12 40:33 7 48
L D W W D
9 34 12 11 11 36:34 2 47
D D L L W
10 34 11 13 10 38:35 3 46
W L W D L
11 34 12 9 13 28:34 -6 45
W L L L W
12 34 11 8 15 31:41 -10 41
L W W L L
13 34 10 10 14 27:38 -11 40
L W D L W
14 34 10 9 15 30:29 1 39
L L D W L
15 34 7 16 11 29:33 -4 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 6 18 26:35 -9 36
W L W L W
17 34 9 9 16 24:33 -9 36
L L L W D
18 34 6 8 20 25:57 -32 26
W L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation