ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
26.09.2026 22:00
Estadio Abel Sastre

Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.6%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Madryn Win 81.6%
Draw 4.3%
Central Norte Win 14%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Madryn1.21
Central Norte0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
WWDLW
42 GF / 30 GA
Central Norte Central Norte
WLDWL
20 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
16
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 30 matches
Central Norte Central Norte 30 matches
Deportivo Madryn Statistic Central Norte
12 Wins 6
10 Draws 14
8 Losses 10
42 Goals For 20
30 Goals Against 28
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
16 BTTS Yes 12
21 Over 1.5 14
16 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Madryn's more proactive style and Central Norte's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Central Norte having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Deportivo Madryn arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 46 points compared to Central Norte in 14 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Central Norte. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Deportivo Madryn Analysis

Deportivo Madryn approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 46 points after 29 outings. The return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 42:28, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Central Norte Analysis

Central Norte sit 14 with 31 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 19:27, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Madryn won 1 times, Central Norte won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Deportivo Madryn's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Madryn wins 1, draws 0, Central Norte wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation